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Prediction Market Movers

Prediction News
Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
CFTC
Prediction Market
Prediction Edge
Manifold
Skywalk
Sporttrade
Regulation
Artificial Intelligence
Cal-She
Acquisitions
Sportspredict
Draftkings
Sports Betting
Virginia
New Jersey
Verdict
Safebets

Each week, Chris Gerlacher talks to industry insiders, financial analysts and legal experts on all of the latest developments in prediction markets.

PublishesWeeklyEpisodes46Foundeda year ago
Number of ListenersCategory
Business

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Artwork for Prediction Market Movers

Latest Episodes

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlach of Prediction News sits down with CJ Hetherington, Co-Founder & CEO of Limitless Exchange, to discuss the company’s origins, the growth of prediction markets, and how Limitless is building it... more

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher of Prediction News sits down with Gary DeWaal, a veteran CFTC and derivatives law expert, for a deep dive into the history and future of prediction markets, futures regulation, and the ongo... more

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher of Prediction News sits down with Harshit Geddam, Head of Technology at OpinionKings, to discuss the company’s innovative approach to prediction markets.

OpinionKings is connecting short-f... more

Former CFTC official Dorothy DeWitt joins Chris Gerlacher on Prediction Market Movers for an in-depth look at the evolution of prediction markets, Kalshi’s early years, and the regulatory challenges shaping the industry today.

DeWitt led the CFTC te... more

Former Kalshi Head of Politics Jaron Zhou joins Chris Gerlacher on Prediction Market Movers to discuss how political prediction markets work, how they complement polling, and what they can reveal about the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential cycl... more

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher sits down with Dr. Robin Hanson to explore where prediction markets came from, where they're headed, and how they could become a much more powerful tool for decision-making.

Hanson revisit... more

What happens when proprietary trading meets prediction markets? Chris Gerlacher of Prediction News sits down with Melissa Footlick, founder and CEO of Catalyst, to explain how prop trading works and why she believes the traditional model needs to cha... more

In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher sits down with gaming industry analyst-consultant Steve Ruddock to examine how today's prediction markets compare to the early days of daily fantasy sports, online poker, and sports betting... more

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Recent Guests

CJ Hetherington
CEO and Co-founder of Limitless Exchange
Limitless Exchange
Episode: CJ Hetherington on Building a Global Prediction Market | Prediction Market Movers
Gary DeWaal
CFTC and derivatives law expert, long-time regulator
Prediction News (guest on show)
Episode: Gary DeWaal on Sports Contracts, Perps & CFTC Preemption | Prediction Market Movers
Harshit Geddam
Head of Technology, Opinion Kings
Opinion Kings
Episode: Prediction Markets Meet Social Media | Prediction Market Movers
Dorothy DeWitt
Consultant in commodities and prediction markets; led Kalshi designation efforts
Told Strategies
Episode: The CFTC’s Vision for Prediction Markets with Dorothy DeWitt | Prediction Market Movers
Jaron Zhou
Former head of politics at Kalshi
Kalshi
Episode: What the Markets Say About the 2026 Midterms | Prediction Market Movers
Robin Hanson
Professor of economics and contributor to prediction market theory
Independent scholar/academic
Episode: Robin Hanson: Prediction Markets Can Fix Bad Decisions | Prediction Market Movers
Melissa Footlick
Founder and CEO of Catalyst
Catalyst
Episode: Melissa Footlick on the Next Generation of Traders | Prediction Market Movers
Steve Ruddock
Gaming journalist covering prediction markets and gaming industry changes
Independent journalist
Episode: Steve Ruddock Explains Why Prediction Markets Face Their Biggest Test Yet | Prediction Market Movers
Seni Thomas
Representative of Edge Markets
Edge Markets
Episode: Seni Thomas of Edge Markets on Banking & Payment Rails | Prediction Market Movers

Host

Chris Gerlacher
Host of Prediction Market Movers

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

Prediction Markets Meet Social Media | Prediction Market Movers
Q: How does Opinion Kings position itself in relation to Kalshi or Polymarket?
Opinion Kings does not compete with those exchanges; it focuses on marketing and liquidity generation through creators, acting as a social media layer that drives traffic and liquidity to existing markets.
Prediction Markets Meet Social Media | Prediction Market Movers
Q: How does credibility influence user engagement and monetization on Opinion Kings?
Credibility is tracked through a combination of creator behavior, market participation, and audience engagement; higher credibility leads to greater visibility, more followers, and increased willingness to pay for premium content and signals.
Prediction Markets Meet Social Media | Prediction Market Movers
Q: What inspired Opinion Kings to connect social content with prediction markets?
The idea came from observing how people consume news and opinions on social media but still want to trade, so the platform aims to let users view content and trade in one place, with credibility scoring guiding trust.
Melissa Footlick on the Next Generation of Traders | Prediction Market Movers
Q: If I'm a new user on Catalyst, how do I sign up for a Sim account and how is payout funded?
You sign up for a simple $10 challenge that给予 a $1,000 simulated balance on Polymarket; if you hit the max loss limit and meet the qualifying trades, you receive $100 deposited to your Catalyst wallet instantly, with crypto or other payout options.
Steve Ruddock Explains Why Prediction Markets Face Their Biggest Test Yet | Prediction Market Movers
Q: If the Supreme Court weighs in, what are the likely outcomes for Kalshi and other platforms, and how could that affect their strategic moves?
A favorable or unfavorable ruling could shift how these platforms operate, potentially adding regulatory burdens or unlocking new capabilities; stakeholders may pursue varied paths depending on court outcomes and subsequent Congressional actions.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Prediction Market Movers

What is Prediction Market Movers about and what kind of topics does it cover?

A fast-moving briefing on the state of prediction markets, covering long-horizon forecasting, data infrastructure, and market design. Episodes frequently explore AI-assisted forecasting, regulatory developments, and the interplay between political events, economics, and technology platforms. Notable threads include how institutions access and use market data, the evolution of liquidity and trading architectures (including on-chain and off-chain dynamics), and the ethical considerations around bet-based forecasting in politics, policy, and society. The format often features veteran practitioners, founders, and researchers who bring deep technical or policy expertise, making it valuable for traders, product builders, and decision-makers evalu... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Prediction Market Movers?

These podcasts share a similar audience with Prediction Market Movers:

1. Inside Prediction Markets
2. Bet The Process
3. All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
4. The AI Daily Brief: Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis
5. Dwarkesh Podcast

How many episodes of Prediction Market Movers are there?

Prediction Market Movers launched a year ago and published 46 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Prediction Market Movers?

Recent guests on Prediction Market Movers include:

1. CJ Hetherington
2. Gary DeWaal
3. Harshit Geddam
4. Dorothy DeWitt
5. Jaron Zhou
6. Robin Hanson
7. Melissa Footlick
8. Steve Ruddock

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