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Prediction Market Movers

Prediction News
Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
CFTC
Prediction Market
Prediction Edge
Manifold
Skywalk
Sporttrade
Regulation
Artificial Intelligence
Cal-She
Acquisitions
Sportspredict
Draftkings
Sports Betting
Virginia
New Jersey
Verdict
Safebets

Each week, Chris Gerlacher talks to industry insiders, financial analysts and legal experts on all of the latest developments in prediction markets.

PublishesWeeklyEpisodes43Foundeda year ago
Number of ListenersCategory
Business

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Artwork for Prediction Market Movers

Latest Episodes

Former CFTC official Dorothy DeWitt joins Chris Gerlacher on Prediction Market Movers for an in-depth look at the evolution of prediction markets, Kalshi’s early years, and the regulatory challenges shaping the industry today.

DeWitt led the CFTC te... more

Former Kalshi Head of Politics Jaron Zhou joins Chris Gerlacher on Prediction Market Movers to discuss how political prediction markets work, how they complement polling, and what they can reveal about the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential cycl... more

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher sits down with Dr. Robin Hanson to explore where prediction markets came from, where they're headed, and how they could become a much more powerful tool for decision-making.

Hanson revisit... more

What happens when proprietary trading meets prediction markets? Chris Gerlacher of Prediction News sits down with Melissa Footlick, founder and CEO of Catalyst, to explain how prop trading works and why she believes the traditional model needs to cha... more

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Recent Guests

Robin Hanson
Professor of economics and contributor to prediction market theory
Independent scholar/academic
Episode: Robin Hanson: Prediction Markets Can Fix Bad Decisions | Prediction Market Movers
Melissa Footlick
Founder and CEO of Catalyst
Catalyst
Episode: Melissa Footlick on the Next Generation of Traders | Prediction Market Movers
Steve Ruddock
Gaming journalist covering prediction markets and gaming industry changes
Independent journalist
Episode: Steve Ruddock Explains Why Prediction Markets Face Their Biggest Test Yet | Prediction Market Movers
Seni Thomas
Representative of Edge Markets
Edge Markets
Episode: Seni Thomas of Edge Markets on Banking & Payment Rails | Prediction Market Movers
Oscar Levy
River Markets
Episode: How River Markets is Transforming Prediction Market Trading | Prediction Market Movers
Hunter Guo
Founder of Verdict, independent watchdog for prediction market resolution quality
Verdict (GetVerdictHQ)
Episode: How Hunter Guo Built a Prediction Market Watchdog | Prediction Market Movers
Gaeten Dugas
Top trader in Kalshi Culture Markets
Kalshi
Episode: Gaeten Dugas Exposes Spotify Streaming Fraud That Broke Kalshi Markets | Prediction Market Movers
Gina Antoniello
Professor at NYU; researcher and spokesperson for SafeBets
SafeBets
Episode: SafeBets Wants to Reward Skill, Not Losses | Prediction Market Movers
Christian Williams
Representative from Metaculus, discussing the Labor Automation Forecasting Hub
Metaculus
Episode: Will AI Replace Jobs? Metaculus' Christian Williams Breaks It Down | Prediction Market Movers

Host

Chris Gerlacher
Host of Prediction Market Movers

Chart Rankings

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Apple Podcasts
#183
Switzerland/Business

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

Melissa Footlick on the Next Generation of Traders | Prediction Market Movers
Q: If I'm a new user on Catalyst, how do I sign up for a Sim account and how is payout funded?
You sign up for a simple $10 challenge that给予 a $1,000 simulated balance on Polymarket; if you hit the max loss limit and meet the qualifying trades, you receive $100 deposited to your Catalyst wallet instantly, with crypto or other payout options.
Steve Ruddock Explains Why Prediction Markets Face Their Biggest Test Yet | Prediction Market Movers
Q: If the Supreme Court weighs in, what are the likely outcomes for Kalshi and other platforms, and how could that affect their strategic moves?
A favorable or unfavorable ruling could shift how these platforms operate, potentially adding regulatory burdens or unlocking new capabilities; stakeholders may pursue varied paths depending on court outcomes and subsequent Congressional actions.
Steve Ruddock Explains Why Prediction Markets Face Their Biggest Test Yet | Prediction Market Movers
Q: Back to DFS, what made it durable and able to operate across many states, and how does that compare to prediction markets today?
DFS found a balance by showing constituents that it offered value without cannibalizing existing gambling revenues; prediction markets are still searching for that clear, defensible use case that resonates with both the public and regulators.
Can SportsPredict Find the Next Generation of Traders? | Prediction Market Movers
Q: Where can we follow you, keep up with what you're thinking about the industry, and the progress of SportsPredict?
They point listeners to their Sub Stack, LinkedIn, and X (Prediction Edge) for ongoing updates, industry insights, and announcements about partnerships and future topics.
Seni Thomas of Edge Markets on Banking & Payment Rails | Prediction Market Movers
Q: What are the timelines and regulatory steps for Edge to become an IB and an FCM, and what will that enable?
Edge anticipates IB status before the NFL season and notes that becoming an FCM is a longer process (roughly 9–12 months). This would enable true custody, real-time netting, and post-execution settlement across venues, transforming how margin and settlement are handled in prediction markets.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Prediction Market Movers

What is Prediction Market Movers about and what kind of topics does it cover?

A fast-moving briefing on the state of prediction markets, covering long-horizon forecasting, data infrastructure, and market design. Episodes frequently explore AI-assisted forecasting, regulatory developments, and the interplay between political events, economics, and technology platforms. Notable threads include how institutions access and use market data, the evolution of liquidity and trading architectures (including on-chain and off-chain dynamics), and the ethical considerations around bet-based forecasting in politics, policy, and society. The format often features veteran practitioners, founders, and researchers who bring deep technical or policy expertise, making it valuable for traders, product builders, and decision-makers evalu... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Prediction Market Movers?

These podcasts share a similar audience with Prediction Market Movers:

1. Inside Prediction Markets
2. Bet The Process
3. The Journal.
4. Money Stuff: The Podcast
5. Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts

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Prediction Market Movers launched a year ago and published 43 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Prediction Market Movers?

Recent guests on Prediction Market Movers include:

1. Robin Hanson
2. Melissa Footlick
3. Steve Ruddock
4. Seni Thomas
5. Oscar Levy
6. Hunter Guo
7. Gaeten Dugas
8. Gina Antoniello

To view more recent guests and their details, simply upgrade your Rephonic account. You'll also get access to a typical guest profile to help you decide if the show is worth pitching.

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