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Artwork for The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics

The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics

Capital Economics
China
Inflation
Tariffs
US Economy
Federal Reserve
Donald Trump
United States
Artificial Intelligence
Interest Rates
Oil Prices
Bank Of England
Economic Growth
Global Economy
Trump Tariffs
Labor Market
Bond Market
Trump Administration
Japan
Monetary Policy
OPEC

Capital Economics, a world-leading provider of macroeconomic insight, presents The Weekly Briefing – the show with all you need to know about what's happening in the global economy and markets. From the Fed's next decision to China's slowdown to moves in equities, bonds and FX, each week, our team of economists take apart the big economic and market stories and highlight those issues that investor... more

PublishesWeeklyEpisodes213Founded4 years ago
Number of ListenersCategories
InvestingBusiness

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Artwork for The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics

Latest Episodes

Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing unpacks another turbulent week for the global economy. He talks to David Wilder about the latest escalation in the US trade war, the economic fallout from rising tensions with Iran and higher oil prices and why the... more

The collapse of the US-Iran ceasefire has triggered another spike in oil prices and put markets back on edge. Neil Shearing joins David Wilder to discuss whether the world is heading for another oil shock and what it would mean for growth and inflati... more

It's far too soon to be worrying about another spike in inflation from renewed fighting in the Middle East. That's one of the key messages from Capital Economics' Global Chief Economist Jennifer McKeown, who joins David Wilder on The Weekly Briefing ... more

For the past three years, our Markets team has been more optimistic than most about the AI-driven rally in global equities. That view has been borne out by events. Now they believe the rally has entered its final phase and that a sharp downturn will ... more

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Recent Guests

Paul Dales
Chief UK economist
Capital Economics
Episode: AI's macro boost, a hawkish Fed and Burnham's balancing act
Ruth Gregory
Deputy Chief Economist
Capital Economics
Episode: AI's macro boost, a hawkish Fed and Burnham's balancing act
John Higgins
Chief Economic Advisor for Financial Markets
Capital Economics
Episode: Fed hikes, inflation risks and AI stocks
David Oxley
Chief Climate and Commodities Economist, Capital Economics
Capital Economics
Episode: A deal at last? What a Hormuz reopening would mean for oil and inflation
Jonas Goltermann
Chief Markets Economist, discussed market implications of earnings and macro backdrop
Capital Economics
Episode: A tough macro backdrop gets tougher. Will equities care?
Jason Tuvey
Deputy Chief Emerging Markets Economist
Capital Economics
Episode: Global imbalances, all over again | Gulf economies in crisis
James Reilly
Senior markets economist, Capital Economics
Capital Economics
Episode: A fragile ceasefire: What next for economies and markets?
Jennifer McKeown
Chief Global Economist at Capital Economics
Capital Economics
Episode: Policy in a time of conflict: Central banks and the growth-inflation trade-off
Kieran Tompkins
Senior Commodities Economist at Capital Economics
Capital Economics
Episode: Middle East conflict, oil prices and that US jobs drop

Hosts

David Wilder
Host of Capital Economics Weekly Briefing; Capital Economics
Neil Shearing
Group Chief Economist; Co-host on several shows
Jonas Goltermann
Chief Markets Economist; interviewed on market implications
Ruth Gregory
Deputy Chief UK Economist

Reviews

4.9 out of 5 stars from 80 ratings
  • Independent timely macroeconomic analysis

    Knowledgeable insight.

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Paiching Hung
    United Kingdom3 years ago

Listeners Say

Key themes from listener reviews, highlighting what works and what could be improved about the show.

Knowledgeable insight.
Independent timely macroeconomic analysis.
Strong evidence of market-relevant forecasting and scenario planning.
Audience-friendly explanations of complex economic concepts.

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Talking Points

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From boom to bust: the AI equity rally in its final phase
Q: What about three rate hikes, how does that change the profile for bonds and the dollar in the next six months?
Three rate hikes are seen as a headwind for bonds, likely flattening the yield curve and supporting the dollar, while economics suggest a tougher environment for equities as policy tightens.
From boom to bust: the AI equity rally in its final phase
Q: What's going to be the catalyst for that final blowout?
The discussion points to upcoming Q2 earnings and continued resilience in earnings as the most likely trigger for the next upside move, but with the caveat that a peak could be followed by a drawdown if conditions tighten and valuations stretch.
The next oil shock? And China's economy after the GDP miss
Q: What are the macro implications if we see a further oil price rally—what would that do to inflation and growth, and what might central banks do in response?
Higher energy prices would push inflation higher and slow growth, potentially triggering recessions in some regions; central banks may need to tighten further or hold restrictive policy, with the path varying by jurisdiction, depending on how energy pass-through and wage dynamics unfold.
The next oil shock? And China's economy after the GDP miss
Q: So I guess my question to you to kick off is just things are clearly getting spicier again, but how spicy?
The market is pricing in higher oil prices, with a shift in probabilities toward a spike over the next two to three months, driven by renewed supply shocks and dwindling inventories, though we're not at triple-digit oil prices yet; the bigger risk is how policy responds and whether an off-ramp emerges as tensions persist.
Fed hikes, inflation risks and AI stocks
Q: How will tariffs and the 301 investigations affect inflation and global business uncertainty?
Tariffs may push up goods inflation in the near term, but could be substitution effects rather than a persistent driver; however, the political and legal uncertainty will continue to weigh on business sentiment and could complicate the trajectory of inflation and growth.

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Frequently Asked Questions About This Podcast

What is This Podcast about and what kind of topics does it cover?

This program delivers deep macroeconomic analysis focused on global markets, energy shocks, central bank policy, and geopolitical risks as they affect growth, inflation, and asset pricing. Episodes frequently feature top economists from Capital Economics who dissect policy pathways, energy dynamics, and major geopolitical developments to outline scenarios for stocks, bonds, and currencies. A standout strength is the breadth of regional and topic coverage—from the US and UK to China, the Middle East, and energy markets—paired with scenario planning that helps listeners gauge potential market moves. Notable is the strong emphasis on data-driven forecasts, policy trade-offs, and timely client-oriented insights that translate complex macro topi... more

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this podcast launched 4 years ago and published 213 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on this podcast?

Recent guests on this podcast include:

1. Paul Dales
2. Ruth Gregory
3. John Higgins
4. David Oxley
5. Jonas Goltermann
6. Jason Tuvey
7. James Reilly
8. Jennifer McKeown

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