
为什么有人能连续中大奖?
为什么我的股票一直在跌?
为什么我们总会遇到一些不大可能发生的事件?
答案是概率。
天气预报、彩票、股票、赛事结果、交通事故、医疗保险、自然现象……这些都涉及概率。英国著名统计学家戴维·汉德认为,即使概率极低,那些不大可能发生的事件也绝对有可能发生,甚至会必然发生。
非概率原理包含:必然法则、巨数法则、选择法则、概率杠杆法则以及够近法则。作者认为,在非概率原理的影响下,那些不大可能发生的事件往往会频繁发生,人们通常会对此感到意外。这些意料之外的事件或许会给人带来一些好处,比如彩票中奖,股价上涨;也会带来一些麻烦和危险,比如金融危机,火车事故,被雷击中。
本书帮助读者理解日常生活中出现不大可能事件发生的原因,在介绍基础的概率论知识和非概率原理之外,还教读者如何在生活中使用这些法则——如何避免遇到倒霉事,如何“依靠运气”赚钱,甚至如何选中一只必然上涨的股票。
本书适合... more
| Publishes | Daily | Episodes | 61 | Founded | 2 years ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Language | Categories | InvestingSocial SciencesScienceBusiness | |||











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