Monetary Blog | FOMC Insight Engine
Konstantin MilevskiyInvestigations into Federal Reserve policy, tested against 90 years of archival documents.
| Publishes | Twice weekly | Episodes | 35 | Founded | 5 months ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of Listeners | Categories | PoliticsNewsBusinessInvesting | |||
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Latest Episodes
Warsh named fifteen independent experts to examine whether the Fed's methods can be improved. Each panel pairs a directional coalition with a credible counterweight: the coalition sets the direction, the counterweight sets the boundary — and the oppo... more
Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting installed the framework the series predicted, on a schedule that points to a December cut — licensed by a productivity payoff the Fed cannot yet measure...
Kevin Warsh's confirmation testimony committed the next Federal Reserve chairmanship to a coordinated balance-sheet and rate-cut program. He was sworn in and elected FOMC chair on May 22. The Coordination documented the architecture; The Analogue doc... more
Governor Michael Barr — until 2024 the Vice Chair for Supervision and the architect of the framework Bessent calls a fundamental mistake — delivers a public defense of every instrument the axis program requires dismantled, and names no principal. The... more
The Federal Reserve's look-through doctrine works when energy shocks mean-revert. The 1973–74 OPEC episode is the case where it didn't, and the modern record shows the framework cannot tell, in real time, which kind of shock it is operating on. The I... more
The fifth pillar the doctrine does not name is the institution's most documented operational commitment. Swap lines, the Exchange Stabilization Fund, FIMA repo facilities, dollar hegemony as enforcement mechanism — all named in the archive, none name... more
The roadmap maps four pillars and depends on five. The fifth — the one the doctrine does not name — is the operational commitment the Federal Reserve has documented most thoroughly and discussed most reluctantly. Until the fifth is named, the four ar... more
Warsh has committed the next chairmanship under oath to a couple trillion dollars over time in concert with the Treasury Secretary. The balance sheet requires a fifth instrument the four-pillar doctrine does not name. The seat that holds it is not in... more
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