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Inside Prediction Markets

Prediction Market Gurus
Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Novig
Polymarket
World Cup
The Masters
American Football
NFL
RFQ
Opticodds
RFQ (request For Quote)
Artificial Intelligence
Iran
Augusta National Golf Club
Draftkings
Cal-Sheet (prediction Market Platform)
Adverse Selection
Underdog (prediction Markets)
Live Odds
College Football

Every week, join two of the world's sharpest bettors and minds, Henry Kerins and Chris Dierkes, as they discuss everything about betting and prediction markets. 📅 New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays 📈 Market Deep Dives 🎙️ Expert Guests 🧠 Strategy Analysis This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The view... more

PublishesWeeklyEpisodes27Founded7 months ago
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Artwork for Inside Prediction Markets

Latest Episodes

This week we discuss LSU reportedly using prediction markets to hedge Lane Kiffin-related bonuses, Donald Trump Jr.’s ties to the industry, the politics surrounding prediction market regulation and whether the industry could eventually become too big... more

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This week, President Trump expressed his support of prediction markets in the U.S., our Novig CEO and co-founder Jacob had a CNBC feature and NFL players are returning to college football.

Then, we get into the NFL markets that are already exceedin... more

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We open this week with our 3 big things: Kalshi has a new 3.5% maker fee on RFQs, Underdog just released a new crash-style game and Novig passed Rothera in trailing 7-day prediction market volume!

Then, our good friend Hitman joins us to discuss all... more

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For this week’s episode, we filmed in Las Vegas at BetBash 2026! We sat down with our good friend Pads to hear how he went from working as a chemical engineer to becoming a full-time professional bettor and eventually joining Bookie Beats. We break d... more

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Recent Guests

Camden Mariotti
Avid poker player and predictor markets participant discussed on the show
Episode: From Poker To Prediction Markets: How To Build A Profitable Operation
Lawrence Elvestine
Trading professional with background in sports betting; joined the podcast as a guest
PrizePicks/MAG
Episode: Building a Winning Prediction Market Trading Team
Joe Leonard
Sports trader with engineering/data science background
MAG/University of Virginia
Episode: Building a Winning Prediction Market Trading Team
Andrew Courtney
Longtime SIG trader at Susquehanna International Group (SIG)
SIG / Susquehanna International Group
Episode: Inside the Mind of a 15-Year SIG Trader & The Future of Prediction Markets
Matt Restivo
CEO of OpticOdds, guest in the hot seat
OpticOdds
Episode: Optic Odds CEO on Powering the Industry + World Cup Volume Shattering Records
Josh Spaceman
RFQ market-maker in OpticOdds hot seat, winner of Grand Isimo (RFQ contest)
OpticOdds / Kalshi related activity
Episode: This NYC Bar Is Using Prediction Markets to Hedge Your Tab If the Knicks Win
Harry Crane
Guest, longtime predictor of markets and CFTC Innovation Committee member
CFTC Innovation Committee
Episode: Ohio Is Trying to Kill Sports Betting + Harry Crane on the Fascinating Kelly Criterion Debate
John Schilling
GoldenPants13, premier prediction market market maker and Risk Takers show host
Risk Takers / Kalshi
Episode: How To Bet The Masters + Novig Is Giving Away 500K
Jacob Fortinsky
CEO, Novig
Novig
Episode: Novig CEO Jacob Fortinsky on Why Prediction Markets Will Win

Hosts

Henry Kerins
Host of Inside Prediction Markets with affiliations across Novig and associated groups; frequent co-host of episodes
Chris Dierkes
Co-host with deep involvement in prediction markets and market-making discussions, often leading conversations with guests

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Talking Points

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Professional NFL Handicapper Reveals His Biggest Preseason Edges
Q: Did Prediction Markets play any factor into this decision with you thinking you can get more money down?
Yes, Hitman says prediction markets provided an edge on day-of-game props and allowed larger, more liquid execution without the same market impact as large pre-open bets, influencing his choice to rely more on PMs and less on traditional touting.
From Poker To Prediction Markets: How To Build A Profitable Operation
Q: Before ending, could you give the story on how you and Henry met?
Camden describes meeting Henry through early online gambling communities and poker circles, which evolved into a collaborative friendship that led to ongoing work in the prediction markets space.
Inside the Mind of a 15-Year SIG Trader & The Future of Prediction Markets
Q: What was the biggest challenge when transitioning from SIG to predicting markets?
The guest describes shifting from a high-stakes, fast-paced trading environment to exploring prediction markets as a way to leverage information and manage risk transfer, while also dealing with new design challenges like contract clarity and settlement.
This NYC Bar Is Using Prediction Markets to Hedge Your Tab If the Knicks Win
Q: What was your biggest learning from Survivor-style contests and applying that to market-making?
Understanding the distribution of other contestants' actions and building profiles around who they are helps anticipate moves; it's about reading people as much as reading numbers and adjusting liquidity strategically.
This NYC Bar Is Using Prediction Markets to Hedge Your Tab If the Knicks Win
Q: Josh, how do you balance the push to quote for the market versus relying on your own model-driven views?
We emphasize the market's signal but still rely on our own models; we often price for the market while keeping a guardrail and using RFQs to test ideas without overstretching our resources.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Inside Prediction Markets

What is Inside Prediction Markets about and what kind of topics does it cover?

The show centers on prediction markets, market making, liquidity dynamics, and the evolving ecosystem of betting and PM platforms. Across episodes, hosts explore practical trading strategies, team-building, regulatory developments, and cutting-edge data and AI tools shaping edge discovery and decision-making. Guests range from operators and traders to founders and regulators, offering hands-on insights into building, running, and governing PM businesses, as well as the competitive landscape among major venues and data providers. The format often blends actionable advice for practitioners with high‑level analysis of market design, settlement, and policy questions, making it a likely fit for listeners who want to understand how prediction mar... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Inside Prediction Markets?

These podcasts share a similar audience with Inside Prediction Markets:

1. Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts
2. Bet The Process
3. The Risk Takers Podcast
4. Prediction Market Movers
5. Gambling With an Edge

How many episodes of Inside Prediction Markets are there?

Inside Prediction Markets launched 7 months ago and published 27 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Inside Prediction Markets?

Recent guests on Inside Prediction Markets include:

1. Camden Mariotti
2. Lawrence Elvestine
3. Joe Leonard
4. Andrew Courtney
5. Matt Restivo
6. Josh Spaceman
7. Harry Crane
8. John Schilling

To view more recent guests and their details, simply upgrade your Rephonic account. You'll also get access to a typical guest profile to help you decide if the show is worth pitching.

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