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Inside Prediction Markets

Prediction Market Gurus
Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Novig
Polymarket
The Masters
RFQ
RFQ (request For Quote)
Opticodds
Cal-Sheet (prediction Market Platform)
Iran
Draftkings
Augusta National Golf Club
Adverse Selection
Live Odds
World Cup
NFL
Kelly Criterion
Dalshi
Fanduel
Regulation

Every week, join two of the world's sharpest bettors and minds, Henry Kerins and Chris Dierkes, as they discuss everything about betting and prediction markets. πŸ“… New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays πŸ“ˆ Market Deep Dives πŸŽ™οΈ Expert Guests 🧠 Strategy Analysis This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The view... more

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Latest Episodes

A Michigan judge has banned Kalshi from offering sports contracts in the state unless they obtain an OSB license β€” and ordered $120,000 per day in fines if they don't comply. Chris and Henry break down why this is just another stop on the inevitable ... more

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Former Susquehanna International Group (SIG) trader Andrew Courtney (@andrewcourt1) joins the Optic Odds Hot Seat to discuss what it's really like inside one of the world's most respected trading firms.Andrew spent 15 years at SIG, where he worked in... more

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Matt Restivo, CEO of Optic Odds, joins Chris and Henry in the Optic Odds Hot Seat. Matt traces the full origin story: from a Stanford dorm room startup called OddsJam to the realization that the real value wasn't the consumer product but the data inf... more

YouTube

A New York City bar is covering every customer's tab if the Knicks win game one β€” and they're hedging the entire risk on a prediction market. Chris and Henry break down why this is one of the smartest real-world use cases for prediction markets yet a... more

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Kyle Kuzma β€” yes, the NBA player β€” became an unlikely prediction market hero this week by clapping back at the DraftKings co-founder's Twitter tirade. Then: the Ninth Circuit signals it's going to rule against prediction markets on sports contracts, ... more

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Matt Kalish β€” co-founder of DraftKings β€” had a very public meltdown on Twitter this week about prediction markets, and Chris and Henry break down every angle. Sporttrade suspends OSB operations and Polymarket and Nasdaq announce perpetual contracts o... more

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What actually is market making? If you've ever asked yourself that question, this is the episode for you.FanDuel and DraftKings just announced they're market making on prediction markets. Then Kalshi dropped numbers showing over 30% of their volume i... more

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Polymarket had a rough week β€” and Chris and Henry break down both stories. First: ghost orders Then: their CMO was caught on a live stream nearly whispering something to a popular streamer before realizing he was on camera β€” a clip that went viral fo... more

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Recent Guests

Matt Restivo
CEO of OpticOdds, guest in the hot seat
OpticOdds
Episode: Optic Odds CEO on Powering the Industry + World Cup Volume Shattering Records
Josh Spaceman
RFQ market-maker in OpticOdds hot seat, winner of Grand Isimo (RFQ contest)
OpticOdds / Kalshi related activity
Episode: This NYC Bar Is Using Prediction Markets to Hedge Your Tab If the Knicks Win
Harry Crane
Guest, longtime predictor of markets and CFTC Innovation Committee member
CFTC Innovation Committee
Episode: Ohio Is Trying to Kill Sports Betting + Harry Crane on the Fascinating Kelly Criterion Debate
John Schilling
GoldenPants13, premier prediction market market maker and Risk Takers show host
Risk Takers / Kalshi
Episode: How To Bet The Masters + Novig Is Giving Away 500K
Jacob Fortinsky
CEO, Novig
Novig
Episode: Novig CEO Jacob Fortinsky on Why Prediction Markets Will Win
Dustin Gouker
Journalist with expertise in sports betting and prediction markets
Journalist, newsletter writer
Episode: Are Prediction Markets Actually Worth Their Jaw-Dropping $20B Valuation?
Sports Projections
Host of the Risk Takers podcast with GP
Sports betting / analytics
Episode: Do Death Markets Actually Exist? Iran’s Fall Exposes a $54M Betting Scandal

Hosts

Henry Kerins
Host of Inside Prediction Markets; appears on episodes discussing market making, PM terminology, and platform dynamics.
Chris Dierkes
Co-host; covers market structure, trading mechanics, and regulatory commentary with hosts.

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Wake Up to WealthBrandon Brittingham

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

This NYC Bar Is Using Prediction Markets to Hedge Your Tab If the Knicks Win
Q: What was your biggest learning from Survivor-style contests and applying that to market-making?
Understanding the distribution of other contestants' actions and building profiles around who they are helps anticipate moves; it's about reading people as much as reading numbers and adjusting liquidity strategically.
This NYC Bar Is Using Prediction Markets to Hedge Your Tab If the Knicks Win
Q: Josh, how do you balance the push to quote for the market versus relying on your own model-driven views?
We emphasize the market's signal but still rely on our own models; we often price for the market while keeping a guardrail and using RFQs to test ideas without overstretching our resources.
Matt Kalish Crashes Out + 4casters Zach on the Future of Prediction Markets
Q: Zach, welcome to the OpticOdds hot seat. What is the most expensive mistake you've made?
Zach describes mispricing and mishandling risk early on, including trying to market-make without proper controls and relying on legacy processes that led to adverse outcomes; emphasizes learning to build robust liquidity tools and separating trading from risk ownership.
Do Death Markets Actually Exist? Iran’s Fall Exposes a $54M Betting Scandal
Q: What was your first passion? What started the fire for you?
The guest describes how actuarial training and a shift from DFS to prize-picks and pick'em games sparked a data-driven interest in betting markets, with COVID-19 accelerating focus on sports analytics and market opportunities beyond traditional DFS.
The NFL Just Put Prediction Markets on Notice: A Potential Victory For All?
Q: Where do you see the biggest opportunities in the next 12 months for a small operator?
Prediction markets are seen as the near-term growth lever for individual operators, with RFQs expanding beyond personal accounts and potential white-label or dashboard services as scalable paths, while keeping an eye on regulatory risk and liquidity needs.

Audience Metrics

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Frequently Asked Questions About Inside Prediction Markets

What is Inside Prediction Markets about and what kind of topics does it cover?

A deep-dively show centered on prediction markets, market design, and betting dynamics, with emphasis on liquidity, pricing, and regulatory considerations. Episodes frequently feature hands-on discussions about RFQ trading, market making, edge detection, and real-world case studies from sports, politics, and entertainment markets. Regular guests come from major PM platforms, trading desks, and industry media, offering practical insights into market structure, product design, and the evolving regulatory landscape. The format blends actionable trading heuristics with strategic industry commentary, making it a strong fit for listeners who want to understand how Prediction Markets operate in practice and how new products and policies impact liq... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Inside Prediction Markets?

These podcasts share a similar audience with Inside Prediction Markets:

1. Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts
2. Bet The Process
3. Risk of Ruin
4. The Risk Takers Podcast
5. Gambling With an Edge

How many episodes of Inside Prediction Markets are there?

Inside Prediction Markets launched 5 months ago and published 19 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

How do I contact Inside Prediction Markets?

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What guests have appeared on Inside Prediction Markets?

Recent guests on Inside Prediction Markets include:

1. Matt Restivo
2. Josh Spaceman
3. Harry Crane
4. John Schilling
5. Jacob Fortinsky
6. Dustin Gouker
7. Sports Projections

To view more recent guests and their details, simply upgrade your Rephonic account. You'll also get access to a typical guest profile to help you decide if the show is worth pitching.

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