黑天鹅如何应对不可知的未来
一个电商运营【需要电子书、电商视频课程，135~6732~9689】
在发现澳大利亚的黑天鹅之前，欧洲人认为天鹅都是白色的，“黑天鹅”曾经是他们言谈和写作中的惯用语，用来指不可能存在的事物，但当第一只黑天鹅出现时，这个不可动摇的信念崩溃了。黑天鹅的存在，寓示不可预测的重大稀有事件，它们常常带来意料之外的重大冲击，但人们总是视而不见，并习惯于以自己有限的生活经验和不堪一击的信念来解释它们，最终被现实击溃。 从金融危机到四川大地震，从“泰坦尼克号”的沉没到“9-11”恐怖袭击事件，黑天鹅存在于各个领域，无论金融市场、商业、经济还是个人生活，都逃不过它的控制。《黑天鹅:如何应对不可预知的未来(升级版)(全新校订本)》深入介绍了黑天鹅事件的本质和规律，发掘出我们所不知道的事情背后的真正价值，教会我们如何认识这个社会的运行方式，如何避免小概率事件带来的重大损失，如何在不确定的世界中占得先机。 由纳西姆·尼古拉斯... more
| Episodes | 1 | Founded | a year ago | Language |  ZH-CN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Categories | BusinessInvesting | ||||
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《黑天鹅：如何应对不可预知的未来》是纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布的著作，该书深入探讨了黑天鹅事件的本质、影响以及我们应该如何应对它们。
1. 黑天鹅事件的定义与特点：
- 定义：黑天鹅事件是指那些具有意外性、产生重大影响且事后可解释的事件。
- 特点：稀有性、极大的冲击性、事后可解释性以及人类的认知偏差导致我们往往对其视而不见。
2. 人类认知的局限性与偏见：
- 证实偏差与叙述谬误：我们倾向于寻找支持自己观点的证据，而忽视那些与我们观点相悖的证据，同时我们喜欢用简单、连贯的故事来解释事件，而忽... more
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Apple Podcasts | #231 | China/Business/Investing |
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黑天鹅如何应对不可知的未来 launched a year ago and published 1 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.
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