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UBS On-Air: House View

Chief Investment Office
Trump Administration
Tariffs
Israel
Iran
Ukraine
United States
Donald Trump
U.S. Government Shutdown
Decision 2024
Russia-Ukraine War
Congress
UBS
Artificial Intelligence
Federal Reserve
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Biden Administration
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Israel-Hamas War

House View brings you daily, weekly, and monthly content covering our multi-asset views on economic trends and financial markets from the UBS Chief Investment Office

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Artwork for UBS On-Air: House View

Latest Episodes

We remain constructive on the AI theme, but the market narrative is gradually shifting from strong near-term growth to the durability of spending beyond 2027. Investors should ensure diversification and selectivity in their exposure.

Despite the recent decline in commodity prices, we believe fundamentals should provide support in the coming months. We also believe broad commodity exposure offers diversification, inflation hedging, and downside protection in a portfolio context.

Markets are looking to June’s payrolls today for clues on the Fed’s interest rate path after Chair Kevin Warsh offered little indication. We maintain the view that current market conviction around Fed rate hikes is too aggressive and see an opportuni... more

Global equities delivered a strong performance in the second quarter, and we think the momentum can continue in the coming months. The next phase of the rally should, in our view, see a broadening of market leadership.

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Recent Guests

Shane Lieberman
Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor with Governmental Affairs US at UBS
UBS
Episode: Washington Weekly Podcast: US-China meetings, Trade policy, Ukraine aid
Jason Draho
Head of Asset Allocation Americas with the UBS Chief Investment Office
UBS Chief Investment Office
Episode: Washington Weekly Podcast: TikTok, Haiti, & Decision 2024

Hosts

Dan Cassidy
Host of the Washington Weekly Podcast, UBS
Shane Lieberman
Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor with Governmental Affairs US

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House View Daily | Markets on Warsh watch
Q: So given all of that, how should investors think about positioning?
Maintain a diversified portfolio across asset classes, with a focus on shorter-to-medium maturity bonds given the hawkish tilt and ongoing inflation dynamics, while remaining exposed to potential equity gains from resilient growth and AI investment themes.
House View Daily | Markets on Warsh watch
Q: And what are you expecting from the dot plot and the broader policy path?
Expect a shift toward a no-cut median projection for 2026, with several participants revising forecasts higher and the policy rate moving toward a 3 to 3.25% range as growth slows and inflation moderates.
House View Daily | Markets on Warsh watch
Q: Picking up on that, what will markets want to hear from Kevin Warsh on inflation?
Markets will look for guidance on regime change in inflation measurement, the balance between median/trend-based indicators and core PCE, and how Warsh intends to communicate this outlook to markets.
House View Daily | Markets on Warsh watch
Q: Thanks Anna. To start with, how are investors approaching this Fed meeting?
The hosts discuss expectations around Warsh's leadership, oil-price drivers from the US-Iran peace deal, and the overall expectation of a hawkish tilt with attention to inflation measures and the dot plot.
House View Daily | US-Iran deal raises market optimism
Q: And how durable do you think this deal really is?
The host asks about durability, and the guest responds that the base case has been a diplomatic resolution and that markets appear to welcome the development, but stresses uncertainty around how long the deal will last and potential flare-ups.

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Frequently Asked Questions About UBS On-Air: House View

What is UBS On-Air: House View about and what kind of topics does it cover?

A financially focused brief that blends macroeconomic themes with real-time policy and geopolitical context. Episodes regularly feature senior policy and government-affairs voices as they dissect how legislation, funding priorities, and international developments ripple through markets and investment strategy. Expect practical takes on regulatory changes, fiscal outlooks, and global risk factors, with a particular emphasis on how policy moves impact multi-asset portfolios and client outcomes. A notable strength is the access to senior, practitioner-level insight from UBS-affiliated experts, which can help listeners translate political and regulatory developments into investment implications.

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Which podcasts are similar to UBS On-Air: House View?

These podcasts share a similar audience with UBS On-Air: House View:

1. UBS On-Air: Market Moves
2. UBS On-Air: Conversations
3. Thoughts on the Market
4. At Any Rate
5. Hard Lessons

How many episodes of UBS On-Air: House View are there?

UBS On-Air: House View launched 5 years ago and published 171 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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Recent guests on UBS On-Air: House View include:

1. Shane Lieberman
2. Jason Draho

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