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Thoughts on the Market

Morgan Stanley
Inflation
US Federal Tax Refund Season
Artificial Intelligence
U.S. Government Shutdown
Federal Reserve
Private Credit
US Inflation
Consumer Spending
Commercial Real Estate
Household Debt
AI Technology
Longevity
Decarbonization
S&P 500
Economic Growth
Regional Banks
Generative AI
Economic Recession
Leverage Finance
Purchasing Manager Indices

Short, thoughtful and regular takes on recent events in the markets from a variety of perspectives and voices within Morgan Stanley.

PublishesDailyEpisodes1596Founded7 years ago
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InvestingBusiness

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Artwork for Thoughts on the Market

Latest Episodes

Our Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Serena Tang discusses why the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and its impact on oil prices could define the entire market cycle.

Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.

----- Transcript -----

Welcome to Thoughts on... more

As the Strait of Hormuz continues to be a chokepoint for oil, our Global Head of Fixed Income Research Andrew Sheets and our Head of Commodity Research Martijn Rats discuss possible outcomes for the interconnected market.

Read more insights from Mor... more

Our Chief Fixed Income Strategist Vishy Tirupattur and Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s Global Head of Private Credit & Equity David Miller discuss the recent pressure on the private credit market, potential risks and opportunities that remain ... more

The stock market has already discounted many disruptions, including geopolitics, oil and AI. Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why investors are now focused on one thing: whether monetary policy stays too tight for too lon... more

Key Facts

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Recent Guests

Maria Luís Albuquerque
European Commissioner in charge of the Savings and Investment Union project
European Commission
Episode: Europe’s Banks Navigate Uncertainty
Ariana Salvatore
Head of US. Policy Strategy
Morgan Stanley
Episode: Oil Shock Hits the U.S. Consumer
Seth Carpenter
Global Chief Economist and Head of Macro Research at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley
Episode: Could the U.S. Target a Weaker Dollar?
Kevin Warsh
Former Fed Governor and next expected Fed Chair
Episode: The Fed’s Course Under a New Chair
Vishwas Patkar
Head of US Credit Strategy at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley
Episode: How Credit Markets Could Finance AI’s Trillion Dollar Gap
Lisa Shalett
Chief Investment Officer for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Morgan Stanley
Episode: What If Rates Are Higher for Longer?
Joyce Yang
Morgan Stanley's US Leverage Finance Strategist
Morgan Stanley
Episode: Behind the Rapid Growth of the Private Credit Market

Hosts

Andrew Sheets
Global Head of Fixed Income Research.
Seth Carpenter
Global Chief Economist and Head of Macro Research.
Mike Wilson
CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist.
Ariana Salvatore
Head of Public Policy Research.

Reviews

4.8 out of 5 stars from 3.4k ratings
  • March 16 episode

    I am a big fan of Mike Wilson. His analysis is timely and I use it to influence my equity buy/sell decisions. Last year however, Mike was bearish all along and I went along with his view resulting In lost opportunities in the market. Currently Mike has turned bullish and I am skeptical of this view in light of current events.

    Apple Podcasts
    3
    Sassify99
    United States19 days ago
  • One of the best

    The overall goal of any good podcast should be to inform educate and share knowledge in a concise direct manner; this show achieve all three while the same time giving listeners who are marginally interested in the market thoughts to consider and answers that could help drive investment decisions.

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    realistic rater
    United States2 months ago
  • Way too much jargon

    Presenters on this pod seem to think that spouting esoteric terms of art and weedy financial jargon would s what establishes their bonafides. It doesn’t. I guess if your a Finance Bro this pod will make sense to you but normal people should give this a pass

    Apple Podcasts
    1
    Russian River Nic
    United States4 months ago
  • Very informative

    Excellent insights

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Ballysmuttan
    Ireland5 months ago
  • too the point and super insightful

    does exactly the job in the perfect manner and time

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    EvydaObe
    United Kingdom5 months ago

Listeners Say

Key themes from listener reviews, highlighting what works and what could be improved about the show.

Listeners appreciate the concise and practical insights provided in each episode, making complex financial topics accessible.
Some feedback indicates that the content may be too technical for casual listeners, suggesting a gap between expert discussions and general understanding.
Many find the podcast informative and timely, especially for those looking to stay updated on market trends without excessive jargon.
There is a strong emphasis on the quality of analysis, especially from a wide range of expert voices associated with a leading financial institution.

Chart Rankings

How this podcast ranks in the Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube charts.

Apple Podcasts
#20
United States/Business/Investing
Apple Podcasts
#84
United States/Business
Apple Podcasts
#17
United Kingdom/Business/Investing
Apple Podcasts
#34
Canada/Business/Investing
Apple Podcasts
#50
United Kingdom/Business
Apple Podcasts
#82
Canada/Business

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

Oil Shock Hits the U.S. Consumer
Q: How does this affect the consumer through different channels?
Higher oil prices feed into gasoline costs, which directly reduce real purchasing power and encourage precautionary saving; the impact depends on duration, and durable goods spending could see a meaningful hit if the shock persists, with inflation expectations also influenced.
Oil Shock Hits the U.S. Consumer
Q: Ariana, what is the timeline for resolution and the key factors to watch?
The main uncertainties revolve around how long the conflict lasts, the clearance of objectives, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, and whether escalation occurs; these factors suggest a longer disruption than initially expected, with limited policy offsets to fully offset supply loss.
AI’s $3 Trillion Question: How to Pay the Bill?
Q: Josh, how would you compare the current pullback in software multiples to prior periods of peak uncertainty, and are the concerns you're hearing valid?
Josh argues software EV/sales multiples are down significantly from peak fear, with the market pricing in peak uncertainty and terminal value risk, while incumbents defend moats and emphasize enterprise adoption, trust, security, and governance as critical differentiators.
AI’s $3 Trillion Question: How to Pay the Bill?
Q: Lindsay, I want to start with you around financing. What's your latest on the magnitude of the data center financing gap, and what role is credit markets playing here?
Lindsay explains the estimated $3 trillion gap over four years, with hyperscalers contributing cash flow to cover about half, while private and corporate credit (including securitized credit) are expected to fund the remainder; she notes shifts from private credit 1.0 to 2.0 and increasing use of asset-backed structures.
The Fed’s Course Under a New Chair
Q: What do you think that means for Fed policy later this year, if anything?
We doubt there will be a material change in the Fed's reaction function as Mr. Warsh's views align with the committee's mainstream outlook.

Audience Metrics

Listeners, social reach, demographics and more for this podcast.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Thoughts on the Market

What is Thoughts on the Market about and what kind of topics does it cover?

Offers concise and insightful analyses of recent market events, leveraging diverse perspectives from experts affiliated with a prominent financial institution. The content covers a wide range of topics, including economic trends, market volatility, and the implications of monetary policy, providing listeners with both high-level overviews and detailed examinations of specific concerns in the financial world. Each episode typically aims to address current issues while connecting them to broader market dynamics, making it a valuable resource for professionals seeking to understand the evolving financial landscape and enhance their investment decision-making processes.

While maintaining a focus on practicality, the discussions often translate... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Thoughts on the Market?

These podcasts share a similar audience with Thoughts on the Market:

1. The Markets
2. Exchanges
3. UBS On-Air: Market Moves
4. Making Sense
5. At Any Rate

How many episodes of Thoughts on the Market are there?

Thoughts on the Market launched 7 years ago and published 1596 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Thoughts on the Market?

Recent guests on Thoughts on the Market include:

1. Maria Luís Albuquerque
2. Ariana Salvatore
3. Seth Carpenter
4. Kevin Warsh
5. Vishwas Patkar
6. Lisa Shalett
7. Joyce Yang

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