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Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen

Ricochet
Donald Trump
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
Virginia
Polling
Redistricting
Polish Presidential Race
Inflation
Immigration
Illinois Democratic Primaries
Early Voting
Government Shutdown
2024 Presidential Election
Texas
Donald Tusk
Jarosław Kaczyński
MAGA Politics
Biden-Harris Administration

Each week Henry Olsen, columnist and senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, will talk about the presidential and congressional races with leading political journalists and analysts, people who are out in the field and won't give you media spin. Find out who's leading the pack and who's an also-ran, with Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen.Listen to Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen, a... more

PublishesWeeklyEpisodes159Founded6 years ago
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Latest Episodes

Start spreading the news: New Yorkers are hitting the polls next week, and the election is gonna be something wild. Cook Political's Erin Covey is our tour de force guide through the many candidates vying to represent the city's distinct locales, inc... more

We've got Senate runoffs in the Deep South next week, and that means we already know what's in the bag... right? Wrong! Jessica Taylor, Cook Political Report's Senate and Governors Editor, returns to update us on a couple of surprisingly close Republ... more

Though election watchers generally have to make some peace with selfish motives and unpleasant truths, there is more to democracy than the cynics would have you believe. Sean Trende is back for a chat on this theme as it applies to the redistricting ... more

America is a change agent. Just this week, we witnessed another sign of that as unstoppable MAGA momentum pushed notorious Ken Paxton to a walloping victory over party loyalist John Cornyn. So how does one gauge public opinion in such a dynamic terra... more

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Recent Guests

Sean Trende
Redistricting expert, Senior Elections Analyst at Real Clear Politics
Real Clear Politics / American Enterprise Institute
Episode: Mapmaker, Matchmaker
James Kanagasooriam
Chief Research Officer of Focaldata
Focaldata
Episode: This Year's Model
Scott Braddock
Editor of Quorum Report and host of the Quorum Report radio podcast in Austin, Texas
Quorum Report
Episode: Waving Cane in the Lone Star State
Martha Zoller
Republican political strategist and host of the Martha Zoller Show on wdun.com
Martha Zoller Show / WDUN
Episode: Peachy Primaries and Commonwealth Commotions
Erin Covey
House editor at the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter
Cook Political Report
Episode: Peachy Primaries and Commonwealth Commotions
Jessica Taylor
Senate and Governor's Editor at Cook Political Report
Cook Political Report
Episode: Safe Senate Seat Scuffles
Brian Howey
Indiana political guru, columnist and publisher of Howey Politics Indiana
Howey Politics Indiana
Episode: Beggars Can't Be Hoosiers
Tim Goeglein
Focus on the Family Vice President and author
Focus on the Family
Episode: What Really Matters
Chaz Nuttycombe
Founder and executive director of State Navigate
State Navigate
Episode: States in Play

Reviews

4.5 out of 5 stars from 105 ratings
  • A Beautiful Mind

    Olsen is a wonderful pollster and thinker. I think the show scratches my itch for political content but let’s throw a little fun into it too!!!! I think having video would absolutely elevate the podcast and bring far more options. For instance, I would LOVE an episode called STRIP TRIVIA, wherein Olsen and his esteemed guest MUST take off an article of clothing for each bit of Trivia missed. LOL. Just a silly idea hahha. Keep up the good work!!!

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Age 12
    United States5 months ago
  • WEAK Interviewer

    Olsen has some interesting things to say, but he has some serious weak spots. His interview with Michael Tamasky was a joke. Tamasky indicated a lot that progressive aren't confrontational enough and said they never choose a villain for their stories like they should. Seriously? Hitler and Trump comparisons aren't good enough? Olson did not push back one bit. Also, it would help if Olson was honest and knew what he is talking about with certain issues. On one podcast, he said over and over and o... more

    Apple Podcasts
    3
    Textdgh
    United Statesa year ago
  • Great content

    Figure out the ads

    Apple Podcasts
    1
    speakformyself
    United Statesa year ago
  • Podcast subject suggestion

    Here is a good subject fir yoy to cover:

    Do my political small monetary donations do anything? $100 etc

    Are matching donations real?

    Is there a formula “if I donate $500 is that worth say 1.7 votes?

    Why should I donate?

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    qewrfdgfcy65y7
    United States2 years ago
  • Thanks!

    I love geeking out with all the election information. The podcast is a must for everyone, but especially for political junkies.

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Mysterybug
    United States2 years ago

Listeners Say

Key themes from listener reviews, highlighting what works and what could be improved about the show.

Positive reviews frequently highlight the host's expertise and clear explanations of polling concepts.
Fans appreciate high-caliber guests and practical takeaways for campaigns or media work.
Some critiques mention pacing or perceived gaps in pushback during debates with guests.
Listeners praise the data-driven approach and deep political analysis.

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Apple Podcasts
#244
Chile/News/Politics

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

This Year's Model
Q: Where do you see the biggest methodological breakthroughs coming from in the next few years?
Advances will likely come from improved integration of qualitative signals with quantitative modeling, better handling of nonresponse and trust factors, and scalable qualitative research like AI-moderated interviews to capture deeper signals beyond traditional polls.
This Year's Model
Q: What role does modeling play in predicting election outcomes compared to straight polls, especially in high-variance elections?
Modeling, including MRPs, often provides more stable and sometimes more accurate state-level predictions by accounting for interactions between demographics and turnout, especially when state polls are sparse or volatile.
This Year's Model
Q: How do US polling challenges differ from UK polling challenges, and how do you adapt when studying American elections?
In the US, state and district polls require direct sampling in those areas, with heavier reliance on models like MRPs to project turnout and behavior, while UK polling often benefits from more centralized data and different turnout dynamics, necessitating domain-specific forecasting adjustments.
This Year's Model
Q: What's it like to be a pollster in a world where random samples are increasingly hard to obtain?
Pollsters rely on mixed methods, combining internet panels, cell phone outreach, and innovative data modeling to approximate representative samples, while transparently communicating the limitations and confidence bands of their forecasts.
Mapmaker, Matchmaker
Q: What would your majority opinion establish as fair redistricting guidelines if we continue to use single-member districts?
Sean advocates for deviations from strict one-person-one-vote when clearly justified by outcomes like keeping cities or communities intact, plus a robust compactness criterion and strong respect for municipalities and counties, as a pragmatic framework to curb gerrymandering while preserving fair representation.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Beyond the Polls

What is Beyond the Polls about and what kind of topics does it cover?

A data-driven politics podcast that centers on polling, elections, and strategy across presidential and congressional contests. Episodes feature in-depth conversations with reporters, pollsters, and analysts who bring granular district-level context, messaging analysis, and data-driven insights to current race dynamics. A standout trait is the host's emphasis on empirical evidence and methodological nuance, often dissecting polling reliability, turnout effects, and the impact of endorsements and ad campaigns. Listeners can expect rigorous electoral analysis, cross-cutting coverage of national trends and specific state races, and clear takes on what polls and data suggest about likely outcomes and strategies for campaigns and campaigns' spon... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Beyond the Polls?

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1. The Ricochet Podcast
2. 3 Whisky Happy Hour
3. The Commentary Magazine Podcast
4. The McCarthy Report
5. The Editors

How many episodes of Beyond the Polls are there?

Beyond the Polls launched 6 years ago and published 159 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Beyond the Polls?

Recent guests on Beyond the Polls include:

1. Sean Trende
2. James Kanagasooriam
3. Scott Braddock
4. Martha Zoller
5. Erin Covey
6. Jessica Taylor
7. Brian Howey
8. Tim Goeglein

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