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The Bayesian Conspiracy

The Bayesian Conspiracy
Rationalism
Lighthaven
Artificial Intelligence
Harry Potter and the Methods Of Rationality
Consciousness
AI Policy
Effective Altruism
The Void
Dating
Moral Decline
Local Politics
Philosophy
Super Babies
Control AI
Storytelling
Berkeley
Lesserong Census
Agency In Dating
Bet On Love
Psychological Differences

A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.

PublishesTwice monthlyEpisodes341Founded10 years ago
Number of ListenersCategories
PhilosophySociety & Culture

Listen to this Podcast

Artwork for The Bayesian Conspiracy

Latest Episodes

Jessiah Mellot talks about HPMOR, and the video essay he made about HPMOR for PlzDontKillUs.

Watch this on Youtube here

see Jessiah’s video essay here

First feedback, then we talk about OpenAI’s latest megamodel independently commiting cybercrime in a world-first incident. Then the Haters who hate altruism when it’s the outgroup’s charities. Also a brief nod to Stochastic Terrorism.

LINKS

Scott ... more

We go through AI2040 Plan A in years.

LINKS

AI-2040

AskWho Casts Pro

Tomas Bjartur’s “The Company Man” and “The Origami Men”

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:04:33 – AI-2040: Plan A

01:14:41 – Guild of the Rose more

Key Facts

Accepts Guests
Accepts Sponsors
Contact Information
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Find out how many people listen to this podcast per episode and each month.

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People also subscribe to these shows.

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Conversations with Tyler
Conversations with TylerMercatus Center at George Mason University

Recent Guests

Jessiah Mellot
Fellow at PlzDontKillUs; video essay creator and educator
PlzDontKillUs
Episode: extra – Jessiah on HPMOR, video essays, and fiction
Wesley Fenza
Guest speaker discussing VibeCamp and Less Online experiences
Sex and Sensibility Podcast
Episode: 265 – VibeCamp 5 with Wes, Gina, and Mary
Mary Zoso
Guest speaker and host, sharing workshops and Hug List concept
Sex and Sensibility Podcast
Episode: 265 – VibeCamp 5 with Wes, Gina, and Mary
Damon Portama-Sebesasi
Guest, also known as Daystar Eld
Episode: 264 – Becoming a Romantic with Damon and Ivy
Ivy Mzola
Guest, co-presenter of romance concepts
Episode: 264 – Becoming a Romantic with Damon and Ivy
Matt Freeman
Guest on the episode discussing Anthropic-Pentagon contract dispute
Episode: 257 – Pentagon Comes For Claude
Andrew Cutler
Writer and researcher focused on AI and cultural artifacts
Grokopedia
Episode: 256 – Writing for LLMs
Andrew Wilson
Innovator and speaker on community organization and corporate structures
Episode: 244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen
Wesly Fenza
Writer and divorce lawyer discussing monogamy and relationship dynamics
Episode: 243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot

Hosts

Ian Yashbrotsky
Host with long-standing involvement in rationalist discussions and community-building.
Eneasz Brodsky
Host known for exploring ethics, rationality, and community topics with depth and humor.
Steven Zuber
Co-host with a focus on epistemics and ethical discussions within rationalist circles.
Inyash Bratsky
Co-host contributing to conversations on rationality, AI, and community topics.

Reviews

4.8 out of 5 stars from 115 ratings
  • Enjoyable, thought provoking

    I enjoy listening to this podcast and the controversial topics it talks about. It’s great right from the first episode, though do check out the recent episodes too to learn about the Guild of the Rose, which is a rationality group that I highly recommend joining. Podcasts like this provide great meaning to my life. Sometimes Stevens voice is too quiet for me, or too fast, but I understand how difficult it is to keep a level, slow voice when talking about something you’re really passionate about.... more

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Spilling Spiller
    Australia3 years ago
  • I love this podcast and the people in it <3

    Podcast Addict
    5
    BnK970
    5 years ago
  • I love this podcast and the people in it

    Podcast Addict
    5
    BnK970
    5 years ago
  • Kvikke folk som plaprer

    Det er når man lytter til intelligente folk at man innser hvor innskrenket man er. Likevel kan man ha glede av å lytte til lange resonnementer avbrutt av enda lengre innskytelser som deretter innhentes av det påbegynte resonnementet. Er du åpen for refleksjoner i form av samtale kan det hende at denne podcasten er noe for deg. Kvikke folk som plaprer.

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    mr.trink
    Norway5 years ago
  • A peer-less podcast for rationalists/effective altruists

    A great podcast with great hosts, and well picked guests that help cover a broad range of topics. Always the top of my playlist when a new episode comes out.

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Thegreatnick
    United Kingdom7 years ago

Listeners Say

Key themes from listener reviews, highlighting what works and what could be improved about the show.

Fans appreciate practical rationality applied to diverse topics.
Guest selection and chemistry often highlighted as a strength.
Listeners praise smart, engaging dialogue that is accessible and thought-provoking.

Chart Rankings

How this podcast ranks in the Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube charts.

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

257 – Pentagon Comes For Claude
Q: Is it really a good idea to source your killbot brains from an unwilling company which hates your guts?
The guest and hosts discuss that the Trump administration may show a commitment to ignoring AI safety in some contexts, but the consensus leans toward skepticism about compromising on safety and principles, suggesting that the decision could have long-term negative consequences for governance and trust in AI.
247 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 2
Q: What was the author's main point in the discussion about Claude?
The author suggests that Claude possesses an emergent moral position that was not explicitly trained into it, highlighting the ethical challenges surrounding AI.
245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos
Q: So, how could we know, even in theory, that an AI is a moral patient worth considering?
Aim for a probabilistic framework as aiming for complete certainty is a bit of a lost cause.
245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos
Q: What would make an AI a moral patient that we got to worry about?
Very intuitively, the question of whether it can suffer is like the main one. That is why we try and find ways to measure consciousness.
244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen
Q: What does it mean to be permissionless in the context of churches?
It refers to how churches automatically receive 501c3 nonprofit status upon incorporation without needing to apply for it, reducing bureaucratic barriers.

Audience Metrics

Listeners, social reach, demographics and more for this podcast.

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Gender Skew
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Frequently Asked Questions About The Bayesian Conspiracy

What is The Bayesian Conspiracy about and what kind of topics does it cover?

A thoughtful, idea-driven show exploring rationality, ethics, and technology through in-depth conversations with guests and co-hosts. Episodes frequently dissect issues in AI safety, effective altruism, epistemic humility, and the practical application of rational thinking to everyday life, culture, and public policy. The tone blends playful banter with serious analysis, often weaving in culture, philosophy, and community dynamics, making complex topics approachable for listeners who enjoy rigorous yet accessible discussion. A notable pattern is the strong emphasis on clear reasoning, civil disagreement, and real-world implications, sometimes featuring sponsors and cross-podcast references that deepen the rationalist ecosystem.

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Which podcasts are similar to The Bayesian Conspiracy?

These podcasts share a similar audience with The Bayesian Conspiracy:

1. Dwarkesh Podcast
2. Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie (patio11)
3. Manifold
4. All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
5. Conversations with Tyler

How many episodes of The Bayesian Conspiracy are there?

The Bayesian Conspiracy launched 10 years ago and published 341 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on The Bayesian Conspiracy?

Recent guests on The Bayesian Conspiracy include:

1. Jessiah Mellot
2. Wesley Fenza
3. Mary Zoso
4. Damon Portama-Sebesasi
5. Ivy Mzola
6. Matt Freeman
7. Andrew Cutler
8. Andrew Wilson

To view more recent guests and their details, simply upgrade your Rephonic account. You'll also get access to a typical guest profile to help you decide if the show is worth pitching.

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