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The Bayesian Conspiracy

The Bayesian Conspiracy
Consciousness
Lighthaven
Bet On Love
Berkeley
Consensual Violence
Excellence
Canadian Health Care
Bayesian Conspiracy Discord
Ayla
Free-Range Parenting
Combat Sports
Personal Growth
Artificial Intelligence
Simulation Theory
Philosophical Zombies
Physicalism
Dating Shows
Celebrity Culture
Child Independence
Vibe Camp

A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.

PublishesTwice monthlyEpisodes330Founded10 years ago
Number of ListenersCategories
PhilosophySociety & Culture

Listen to this Podcast

Artwork for The Bayesian Conspiracy

Latest Episodes

We talk about three EA-adjacent articles, hitting veganism, directing your donations, and community.

LINKS

Why you should eat meat – even if you hate factory farming by KatWoods

Donations, The Fifth Year, by Jenn

Promises, by Harri

Bayesian Con... more

We relive the last 48 hours of the future of humanity being wrestled over. The Pentagon wants to use Claude for comprehensive mass surveillance of Americans and autonomous kill-bots, and Anthropic says no. The Pentagon retaliates with extreme prejudi... more

We are inspired by Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI to consider the value of writing for LLMs

LINKS

Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI

Gwern’s Writing for LLMs

Tracing Woodgrain’s Reliable Sources

Shambaugh’s An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me

... more

Eneasz talks a bit about his CFAR experience, and we discuss DaystarEld’s Epistemically Honest Reassurance

LINKS

CFAR’s home page

Upcoming CFAR workshops

our episode 152 – Frame Control with Aella

Epistemically Honest Reassurance

Pokémon, Orig... more

Key Facts

Accepts Guests
Accepts Sponsors
Contact Information
Podcast Host
Number of Listeners
Find out how many people listen to this podcast per episode and each month.

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Recent Guests

Andrew Cutler
Writer and researcher focused on AI and cultural artifacts
Grokopedia
Episode: 256 – Writing for LLMs
Matt Freeman
Guest discussing various philosophical and technical aspects of language models
Episode: 247 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 2
Andrew Wilson
Innovator and speaker on community organization and corporate structures
Episode: 244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen
Wesly Fenza
Writer and divorce lawyer discussing monogamy and relationship dynamics
Episode: 243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot
Jennifer Kesteloot
Guest contributing to the discussion on monogamy and honesty within relationships
Episode: 243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot
Trace Woodgrains
Former military cryptological language analyst and advocate for educational reform
Center for Educational Progress
Episode: 242 – TracingWoodgrains, live at Manifest 2025
Liron Shapira
A rationalist and podcaster
Episode: 241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira
Brandon Hendrickson
CEO of Science is Weird, educator
Science is Weird
Episode: 240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg
Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg
Active in the Effective Altruism community
Episode: 240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg

Hosts

Ian Yashbrotsky
Host on the show, primarily drives discussions and debates on rationality topics.
Stephen Zuber
Co-host contributing debate, guest coordination, and analytical framing.
Eneasz Brodsky
Co-host with focus on rationality frameworks and community discussions.

Reviews

4.8 out of 5 stars from 114 ratings
  • Enjoyable, thought provoking

    I enjoy listening to this podcast and the controversial topics it talks about. It’s great right from the first episode, though do check out the recent episodes too to learn about the Guild of the Rose, which is a rationality group that I highly recommend joining. Podcasts like this provide great meaning to my life. Sometimes Stevens voice is too quiet for me, or too fast, but I understand how difficult it is to keep a level, slow voice when talking about something you’re really passionate about.... more

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Spilling Spiller
    Australia2 years ago
  • I love this podcast and the people in it <3

    Podcast Addict
    5
    BnK970
    4 years ago
  • I love this podcast and the people in it

    Podcast Addict
    5
    BnK970
    4 years ago
  • Kvikke folk som plaprer

    Det er når man lytter til intelligente folk at man innser hvor innskrenket man er. Likevel kan man ha glede av å lytte til lange resonnementer avbrutt av enda lengre innskytelser som deretter innhentes av det påbegynte resonnementet. Er du åpen for refleksjoner i form av samtale kan det hende at denne podcasten er noe for deg. Kvikke folk som plaprer.

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    mr.trink
    Norway5 years ago
  • A peer-less podcast for rationalists/effective altruists

    A great podcast with great hosts, and well picked guests that help cover a broad range of topics. Always the top of my playlist when a new episode comes out.

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Thegreatnick
    United Kingdom7 years ago

Listeners Say

Key themes from listener reviews, highlighting what works and what could be improved about the show.

Some reviews highlight variability in pacing or voice intensity, but still find value in content.
Fans note the show is accessible yet deeply analytical, often exploring complex topics clearly.
Listeners praise thoughtful, respectful dialogue and strong guest selections.
Many appreciate the sense of community and practical rationality guidance across episodes.

Chart Rankings

How this podcast ranks in the Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube charts.

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

257 – Pentagon Comes For Claude
Q: Is it really a good idea to source your killbot brains from an unwilling company which hates your guts?
The guest and hosts discuss that the Trump administration may show a commitment to ignoring AI safety in some contexts, but the consensus leans toward skepticism about compromising on safety and principles, suggesting that the decision could have long-term negative consequences for governance and trust in AI.
247 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 2
Q: What was the author's main point in the discussion about Claude?
The author suggests that Claude possesses an emergent moral position that was not explicitly trained into it, highlighting the ethical challenges surrounding AI.
245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos
Q: So, how could we know, even in theory, that an AI is a moral patient worth considering?
Aim for a probabilistic framework as aiming for complete certainty is a bit of a lost cause.
245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos
Q: What would make an AI a moral patient that we got to worry about?
Very intuitively, the question of whether it can suffer is like the main one. That is why we try and find ways to measure consciousness.
244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen
Q: What does it mean to be permissionless in the context of churches?
It refers to how churches automatically receive 501c3 nonprofit status upon incorporation without needing to apply for it, reducing bureaucratic barriers.

Audience Metrics

Listeners, social reach, demographics and more for this podcast.

Listeners per Episode
Gender Skew
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Frequently Asked Questions About The Bayesian Conspiracy

What is The Bayesian Conspiracy about and what kind of topics does it cover?

A discussion-focused show centered on applying rational thinking to a wide range of topics—from AI, ethics, and technology to philosophy and culture. Episodes frequently feature thoughtful debates, guest insights, and references to rationalist communities, with a personable vibe that emphasizes clear reasoning, curiosity, and open dialogue. Notable is a recurring emphasis on community, self-improvement, and practical rationality, often pairing deep dives with accessible banter. Listeners likely range from tech enthusiasts to academics seeking practical frameworks for thinking more clearly and making better decisions.

A standout aspect is its sustained engagement with rationalist ideas and organizations, plus a willingness to tackle controv... more

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Which podcasts are similar to The Bayesian Conspiracy?

These podcasts share a similar audience with The Bayesian Conspiracy:

1. The Mind Killer
2. Dwarkesh Podcast
3. EconTalk
4. Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
5. Fareed Zakaria GPS

How many episodes of The Bayesian Conspiracy are there?

The Bayesian Conspiracy launched 10 years ago and published 330 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on The Bayesian Conspiracy?

Recent guests on The Bayesian Conspiracy include:

1. Andrew Cutler
2. Matt Freeman
3. Andrew Wilson
4. Wesly Fenza
5. Jennifer Kesteloot
6. Trace Woodgrains
7. Liron Shapira
8. Brandon Hendrickson

To view more recent guests and their details, simply upgrade your Rephonic account. You'll also get access to a typical guest profile to help you decide if the show is worth pitching.

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