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Artwork for Probable Causation

Probable Causation

Jennifer Doleac
Criminal Records
Recidivism
Restorative Justice
Criminal Justice System
School Discipline
Community Supervision
Educational Equity
Employment
Police Behavior
Reimprisonment
Reoffending
Truth In Sentencing
Policy Change
Empathy In Education
California Criminal Justice
Discrimination In Housing
Labor Market Discrimination
Cognitive Behavioral Therapy
Decision-Making
Cognitive Behavioral Training

A show about law, economics, and crime.

PublishesMonthlyEpisodes100Founded7 years ago
Number of ListenersCategories
Social SciencesScienceSociety & Culture

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Artwork for Probable Causation

Latest Episodes

Joseph Doyle talks about improving foster care outcomes.

“Effects of Enhanced Legal Aid in Child Welfare: Evidence from a Randomized Trial of Mi Abogado” by Ryan Cooper, Joseph J. Doyle, and Andrés Hojman.

OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:... more

Barry Friedman talks with Jens Ludwig about his book: Unforgiving Places: The Unexpected Origins of American Gun Violence.

Elin Colmsjö talks about how health shocks affect criminal behavior.

“Breaking Bad: How Health Shocks Prompt Crime” by Steffen Andersen, Elin Colmsjö, Gianpaolo Parise, and Kim Peijnenburg.

OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:

“Participat... more

Sekou Keita talks about how media policies that limit information reported about criminal offenders can unintentionally increase bias against the group they're trying to protect.

“The Usual Suspects: Offender Origin, Media Reporting and Natives’ Att... more

Key Facts

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Find out how many people listen to this podcast per episode and each month.

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Recent Guests

Joseph Doyle
Erwin H. Shell Professor of Management and Applied Economics at MIT
MIT
Episode: Episode 120: Joseph Doyle on improving foster care outcomes
Jens Ludwig
Edwin A and Betty L. Bergman Distinguished Professor at the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy and director of the Crime Lab at the University of Chicago
University of Chicago
Episode: Bonus episode 15: Jens Ludwig on his book, Unforgiving Places
Elin Colmsjö
Economics PhD student at the University of Copenhagen and the Danish Central Bank
University of Copenhagen
Episode: Episode 119: Elin Colmsjö on how health shocks affect criminal behavior
Sekou Keita
Economics researcher at the Institute for Employment Research in Germany
Institute for Employment Research
Episode: Episode 118: Sekou Keita on media reporting policies, crime, and immigration
Nour Abdul-Razzak
Research director at the University of Chicago's Inclusive Economy Lab
University of Chicago
Episode: Episode 117: Nour Abdul-Razzak on cognitive behavioral therapy for at-risk youth
Crystal Yang
Economist and the Bennett Boski Professor of Law at Harvard University
Harvard University
Episode: Episode 116: Crystal Yang on accreditation of jail-based health care
Steve Mello
Assistant Professor of Economics
Dartmouth College
Episode: Episode 115: Steve Mello on the long-term financial consequences of small fines
Rachel Nesbit
Economist at the Rand Corporation
Rand Corporation
Episode: Episode 114: Rachel Nesbit on mandating mental health treatment for probationers
Peter Hull
Professor of Economics at Brown University
Brown University
Episode: Episode 113: Peter Hull on a jail-based education program called IGNITE

Host

Jennifer Doliak
Host of Probable Causation, focused on law, economics, and criminal justice analysis.

Reviews

4.3 out of 5 stars from 203 ratings
  • Great to learn from

    This podcast feels like it has all the educational content of an economics seminar, without the most boring technical details. Plus, the conversations on how the authors got the data and where the research frontier are really helpful. For context, I’m an economics phd student.

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Snow_man100
    United States7 months ago
  • Very trivial

    I don’t know why you choose to talk about mental health effects of prison. Lol there’re so many other interesting topics!

    Apple Podcasts
    2
    jas19890x
    United States3 years ago
  • Love the show

    This is a really great way to explore current research in the justice space. Love the host and the guests!

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Coleman Stove
    Canada3 years ago
  • I learn something every episode

    Podcast Addict
    5
    willwheels
    3 years ago
  • Interesting for an outsider

    Interesting listening for someone not in this field. Good format with the same good questions to each guest. Surprisingly coherent explanations from academics in lay-person language. I wouldn’t take any of the conclusions as gospel, but I appreciate hearing about these lines of research.

    Apple Podcasts
    4
    AmpersandPitchfork
    United States4 years ago

Listeners Say

Key themes from listener reviews, highlighting what works and what could be improved about the show.

The format allows for coherent discussions that break down technical concepts for broader audiences, making it suitable for both experts and laypersons.
Overall, many commend the depth and rigor of content offered, noting its illuminating nature in understanding crime and policy.
There is a recognition of the high caliber of guests, which adds credibility and value to the insights shared.
Some feedback indicates that certain views expressed by hosts and guests might polarize listeners, attracting a diverse range of responses.
Listeners appreciate the educational value and accessibility of complex topics, viewing it as a bridge between rigorous academic research and real-world issues.

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Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

Episode 120: Joseph Doyle on improving foster care outcomes
Q: What are the different ways that you were thinking kind of a priori that this program might affect kids' outcomes?
Doyle discusses that enhanced legal aid could improve efficiency by reducing red tape and that the psychological and social support provided could have direct positive effects on family well-being.
Episode 120: Joseph Doyle on improving foster care outcomes
Q: So what are the shortcomings of the current process? What's going wrong here?
Doyle mentions that there's a desire to reduce child maltreatment and outlines that there are new federal funds aimed at preventing foster care placements, but more research is needed to identify which interventions are most effective.
Episode 120: Joseph Doyle on improving foster care outcomes
Q: Could you tell us about your research expertise and how you became interested in this topic?
Joseph Doyle explains that he is an economist with a long-standing interest in public policy, particularly in the area of child welfare, which started during an internship in his undergraduate studies.
Episode 119: Elin Colmsjö on how health shocks affect criminal behavior
Q: So tell us why that is.
Cancer diagnoses are prevalent across the population, are less tied to specific life patterns that could influence crime, and typically do not impair individuals' physical ability too much.
Episode 119: Elin Colmsjö on how health shocks affect criminal behavior
Q: So what did we know before this paper again about how I guess health in general affects crime in particular?
There was very little research on the effects of health shocks on crime, primarily focusing on correlational studies. Most of the literature emphasized life turning points like having children as factors driving individuals away from criminal activity.

Audience Metrics

Listeners, social reach, demographics and more for this podcast.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Probable Causation

What is Probable Causation about and what kind of topics does it cover?

Focusing on the intersections of law, economics, and crime, the content provides an in-depth exploration of current research and relevant issues surrounding these three themes. Frequent discussions cover topics such as gun violence, mental health treatment, probation strategies, and systemic implications of policy changes in the justice system. The podcast features expert guests who share their insights gained from empirical studies and research, fostering thoughtful conversations that bridge the gap between academia and practical applications in society. This approach, combined with the incorporation of behavioral economics and social support systems, offers listeners a unique perspective on the complexities of crime prevention and legal f... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Probable Causation?

These podcasts share a similar audience with Probable Causation:

1. The Pie: An Economics Podcast
2. Have You Heard
3. Capitalisn't
4. The Ezra Klein Show
5. The Daily

How many episodes of Probable Causation are there?

Probable Causation launched 7 years ago and published 100 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Probable Causation?

Recent guests on Probable Causation include:

1. Joseph Doyle
2. Jens Ludwig
3. Elin Colmsjö
4. Sekou Keita
5. Nour Abdul-Razzak
6. Crystal Yang
7. Steve Mello
8. Rachel Nesbit

To view more recent guests and their details, simply upgrade your Rephonic account. You'll also get access to a typical guest profile to help you decide if the show is worth pitching.

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