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Artwork for Excess Returns

Excess Returns

Excess Returns
Artificial Intelligence
S&P 500
Inflation
China
Options Trading
Volatility
Value Investing
Investment Strategies
Emerging Markets
Federal Reserve
Gold
Private Credit
Private Equity
Spacex
Investing
United States
Market Dynamics
Risk Management
Interest Rates
AI Capex

Excess Returns is dedicated to making you a better long-term investor and making complex investing topics understandable. Join Jack Forehand, Justin Carbonneau and Matt Zeigler as they sit down with some of the most interesting names in finance to discuss topics like macroeconomics, value investing, factor investing, and more. Subscribe to learn along with us.

PublishesDailyEpisodes583Founded7 years ago
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Artwork for Excess Returns

Latest Episodes

Jay Hatfield of Infrastructure Capital Advisors makes the case for an AI "reverse bubble" and explains how earnings growth, interest rates, and valuation shape his market outlook. Rather than treating AI spending as proof of excess, he looks at contr... more

YouTube

Kai Wu of Sparkline Capital shows how to uncover hidden AI exposure, overlapping ETF holdings, and unintended factor bets in your portfolio. Owning several funds can still leave you dependent on the same companies and the same AI spending cycle.

In ... more

YouTube

Daniel Crosby explains why investors can lose money in winning funds and how to build a portfolio they can actually hold. Picking the right investment is only part of the challenge; staying with it through discomfort is where behavior can overwhelm t... more

YouTube

Ted Mortonson of Baird explains why conviction in the AI boom doesn't mean buying every dip in tech stocks.

He joins Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau to explain what experienced technology investors watch before putting money back to work—and why... more

YouTube

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Recent Guests

Paisley Nardini
Investment strategist at Tema ETFs
Tema ETFs
Episode: The S&P 500 Is Only 50 Stocks. 70% of the Index Is in a Correction. Did the Sell-Off Already Happen?
Colin McQueen
Portfolio manager in T. Rowe Price's Global Equity Division
T. Rowe Price
Episode: We Asked T. Rowe Price's $17B International Manager Why Value is Winning Again — and What the S&P 500 Leaves Out
Jim Paulsen
Market strategist and author of Paulsen Perspectives
Paulsen Perspectives
Episode: Tech Is Rolling Over. Yields Are Falling. Why Jim Paulsen is Watching the Walmart Recession Signal
Dave Nadig
ETF industry commentator and contributor to etf.com
etf.com
Episode: AI Productivity Is Real. 83% of Stocks Are 10% Off Highs. Why Does Barry Ritholtz Like Bonds Again?
Barry Ritholtz
Co-founder of Ritholtz Wealth Management and author of The Big Picture
Ritholtz Wealth Management
Episode: AI Productivity Is Real. 83% of Stocks Are 10% Off Highs. Why Does Barry Ritholtz Like Bonds Again?
Robert Hagstrom
CIO at EquityCompass and author of The Warren Buffett Way
EquityCompass
Episode: The Winners That Get Away | Chris Davis and Robert Hagstrom on Holding Great Businesses
Chris Davis
Chairman and portfolio manager at Davis Funds
Davis Funds
Episode: The Winners That Get Away | Chris Davis and Robert Hagstrom on Holding Great Businesses
Bogumil Baranowski
Investor and host of Talking Billions
Talking Billions
Episode: The Winners That Get Away | Chris Davis and Robert Hagstrom on Holding Great Businesses
Katie Stockton
Founder and Managing Partner, Fairlead Strategies
Fairlead Strategies
Episode: Katie Stockton Still Sees a Bull Market. So Why Is Her ETF Only 50% in Stocks?

Hosts

Matt Zeigler
Host of Excess Returns; focus on macro, portfolios, and market structure
Jack Forehand
Host; leads discussions on macro, value, and systematized investing
Justin Carbonneau
Co-host; oversees research-driven investment discussions

Reviews

4.7 out of 5 stars from 191 ratings
  • Pick guests more carefully

    I very much enjoy your podcasts, topics and guests. However I feel you crossed the line with Tony Greer and let him move your Podcast into the political sphere. I am going to guess that’s not what your typical listeners want to hear. Still on board and looking forward to new and unique topics - but please stay away from extreme thinkers who spew garbage to churn their niche asset class.

    Apple Podcasts
    4
    Triple Gee
    United States9 months ago
  • Tony Greer

    Tony Greer= one star, hard to take investment advice from such a blow hard.

    Apple Podcasts
    1
    maybdihjlz
    United States9 months ago
  • Tony Greer's appearance

    This was by far the poorest show I've heard from an otherwise useful podcast series. Tony Greer spouts data-free opinions about directions of markets and the economy without any challenge from the host. I don't mind a contrarian, but I expect to hear a well-reasoned set of opinions backing up contrarian views. In this case nothing but tripe. And generally, great investors don't focus on politics, as they try to make money no matter who is running the show, but politics was a massive basis for ... more

    Apple Podcasts
    1
    Davechem 1
    United States9 months ago
  • Dichotomy

    This show has some of the best guests (thoughtful/apolitical/hard research based) and some of the worst guests (narrative based/psuedo-research based/politically biased). Too bad, it could easily be so much better.

    Apple Podcasts
    3
    Davidjschultz
    United States9 months ago
  • 4th turning 🌎

    I’m so glad you guys have finished with Grant Williams now. Squee

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Qrrvjkgxhjlkvg
    United States10 months ago

Listeners Say

Key themes from listener reviews, highlighting what works and what could be improved about the show.

Thoughtful, well-researched guests and deep-dive analyses.
Audience appreciates pragmatic investing takeaways and data-driven discussions.
High-quality guests and host questions drive clear explanations of complex topics.

Chart Rankings

How this podcast ranks in the Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube charts.

Apple Podcasts
#129
United States/Business/Investing
Apple Podcasts
#78
Canada/Business/Investing
Apple Podcasts
#174
United Kingdom/Business/Investing
Apple Podcasts
#223
Canada/Business
Apple Podcasts
#112
Germany/Business/Investing
Apple Podcasts
#116
Australia/Business/Investing

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

AI Productivity Is Real. 83% of Stocks Are 10% Off Highs. Why Does Barry Ritholtz Like Bonds Again?
Q: What is the coolest dumb tool thing that you have done with AI that gave you so much joy?
Dave Nadig describes building tools for baseball scorecards and muting commercials through Sonos. Ritholtz describes astronomy dashboards and using AI to explore music lists, while Zeigler says he enjoys transforming family vacation photos into playful images.
AI Productivity Is Real. 83% of Stocks Are 10% Off Highs. Why Does Barry Ritholtz Like Bonds Again?
Q: How is actual AI working in your actual practice business, and where are you finding leverage as opposed to cool toys?
Matt Zeigler says AI has increased productivity in podcast production and distribution and improved advisory workflows, while Barry Ritholtz describes using a secure data lake and AI to find portfolio drift, tax considerations and clients who may need a rebalance.
The S&P 500 Is Only 50 Stocks. 70% of the Index Is in a Correction. Did the Sell-Off Already Happen?
Q: How do you think advisors and investors should use thematic strategies in their long-term investing approach?
Nardini suggests keeping a low-cost passive core and using carefully selected, actively managed thematic funds as modest satellite positions, often around 3–5 percent per theme.
The S&P 500 Is Only 50 Stocks. 70% of the Index Is in a Correction. Did the Sell-Off Already Happen?
Q: How useful do you think prediction markets are as a source for information for investors?
Nardini sees prediction markets as adaptive, crowdsourced forecasting tools that can aggregate many participants' views and provide useful information for investors.
Tech Is Rolling Over. Yields Are Falling. Why Jim Paulsen is Watching the Walmart Recession Signal
Q: What do you think the big difference is between what you look at, going back to your first chart, and what the Fed looks at?
Paulsen says the Fed is institutionally tied to recent data and committee consensus, while he prefers to focus on what future economic data may show.

Audience Metrics

Listeners, social reach, demographics and more for this podcast.

Listeners per Episode
Gender Skew
Location
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Frequently Asked Questions About Excess Returns

What is Excess Returns about and what kind of topics does it cover?

A thoughtful, data-driven discussion on macroeconomics, investing strategies, and the evolving tech landscape, with frequent focus on AI capex, market regimes, and how capital allocation shapes asset prices. Episodes commonly explore how AI spending, policy, and monetary dynamics influence returns, along with practical portfolio construction ideas, risk management, and the pros/cons of active versus passive approaches. Notable twists include a strong emphasis on narrative frameworks, historical analogies, and a mix of veteran investors and macro researchers offering both cautionary and opportunistic takes. It's likely to appeal to listeners who enjoy rigorous analysis, quantitative context, and long-horizon investing perspectives that blend... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Excess Returns?

These podcasts share a similar audience with Excess Returns:

1. The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing
2. Monetary Matters with Jack Farley
3. The Acquirers Podcast
4. Top Traders Unplugged
5. Forward Guidance

How many episodes of Excess Returns are there?

Excess Returns launched 7 years ago and published 583 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Excess Returns?

Recent guests on Excess Returns include:

1. Paisley Nardini
2. Colin McQueen
3. Jim Paulsen
4. Dave Nadig
5. Barry Ritholtz
6. Robert Hagstrom
7. Chris Davis
8. Bogumil Baranowski

To view more recent guests and their details, simply upgrade your Rephonic account. You'll also get access to a typical guest profile to help you decide if the show is worth pitching.

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