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全球科技金融3分钟

全球科技金融3分钟

用3分钟时间,带你快速了解过去24小时全球科技与资本市场最重要的变化。

PublishesDailyEpisodes62Founded2 months ago
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如果AI真的会成为未来十年的基础设施,那么谁掌握了它背后那些真正稀缺的资源?首先来看韩国。市场预计,三星电子第二季度营业利润将同比增长约18倍。这并不是因为手机卖得更好了,而是AI带来的存储需求远超供给,DRAM和NAND价格持续上涨,整个存储产业链进入利润快速释放阶段。市场真正兴奋的,不是一份漂亮的财报,而是它再次验证了一个判断:AI的瓶颈,正在从算力转向存储。过去大家讨论最多的是GPU,但越来越多机构开始意识到,没有足够的高带宽存储,再强的AI模型也无法高效运行。与此同时,SK海力士ADR即... more

大钱不是靠买卖赚来的,而是靠等待赚来的。首先,把目光放到美国科技股。过去几天,AI芯片板块因为估值压力连续回调,市场开始讨论“AI泡沫”是不是已经出现。但与此同时,最新披露的13F持仓却呈现出完全不同的另一面:包括Border to Coast等大型养老基金继续增持英伟达和博通,英伟达甚至已经成为部分机构的核心重仓。这其实比股价涨跌更值得关注。市场每天交易的是情绪,而养老基金交易的是未来五到十年的现金流。当长期资金继续买入的时候,它们赌的并不是下一季度,而是未来全球算力仍然会持续成为数字经济的基... more

很多时候,决定市场方向的是资本如何理解新闻。首先来看贸易。美国当地时间7月4日,特朗普宣布启动向贸易伙伴发送关税函件,新税率预计于8月1日起正式实施,税率最高可能达到70%,而7月9日仍是谈判的最后窗口。同一时间,欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩表示,美欧几乎不可能在期限前完成全面贸易协议,只能争取达成原则性框架。真正值得市场关注的,并不是关税数字本身,而是全球企业未来现金流的不确定性正在重新上升。当供应链成本、出口利润率和跨国企业投资计划都可能因为政策变化而调整,资本自然会提高风险溢价。对此,欧洲市场已... more

全球科技体系正在从“效率最优”走向“信任分裂”Anthropic与阿里巴巴形成“对称反制”Anthropic近期对中国开发者的访问与使用能力进行了更严格的限制,而阿里巴巴随即在内部宣布全面禁用其模型与工具链,包括Sonnet、Opus等模型及ClaudeCode工具,禁令将于7月10日生效,形成一种典型的“对称反制”。表面上,这是产品层面的取舍,但真正让市场敏感的,是背后的信号:AI不再只是云端服务,而正在变成带有“身份识别与访问边界”的基础设施。当工具开始识别使用者,当模型开始区分地理与环境变... more

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