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Artwork for Probability
Probability
Mathematics
Decision Making
Uncertainty
Bayesian Statistics
Frequentist Statistics
Medical Decision Making
Career Decisions
Framing Effects

Felix Mercer investigates probability as both humanity's sharpest reasoning tool and our most reliable source of error. Discover why our brains fail at chance, explore competing mathematical frameworks for uncertainty, and learn how probabilistic thinking transforms decision-making. For more content like this, visit QuietPlease.ai This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artifi... more

PublishesDailyEpisodes4Foundeda month ago
Number of ListenersCategories
EducationScienceSelf-ImprovementMathematics

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Artwork for Probability

Latest Episodes

Join host Felix Mercer as he reveals why humans misunderstand probability—our closest tool for predicting the future. Explore fierce mathematical debates where experts disagree on "likely," then learn to harness probability for better daily decisions... more

Felix Mercer explores how probabilistic thinking transforms decision-making by replacing binary choices with nuanced likelihood assessments. Drawing on research in clinical reasoning, cognitive bias, and decision science, he demonstrates why thinking... more

Host Felix Mercer explores the century-long war between frequentist and Bayesian probability frameworks — two mathematical philosophies that can't agree on what "70% likely" means. Through medical diagnoses and real-world decisions, discover why your... more

Felix Mercer explores why humans fail at probability, from the 1913 Monte Carlo roulette disaster to the birthday problem and Monty Hall paradox. Learn how our pattern-seeking brains struggle with statistics and discover frameworks for better decisio... more

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Probability launched a month ago and published 4 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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