Rephonic
Artwork for Morning Coffee and Ag Markets
Soybeans
Rice
Arkansas
Corn
Crop Insurance
Cotton
Federal Reserve
Floating Solar Panels
Fertilizer Prices
Arkansas Poultry Industry
Expanding Access To Risk Protection (ERP) Rule
Rice Market
PRF Insurance
University Of Arkansas
Prevented Planting
Lawrence County
Urea
May 2026 WASDE
Prevented Plant
Farmer Bridge Assistance

This podcast delivers weekly insights for the agriculture industry, covering everything from farm-level risk management to market volatility and production challenges. Beyond the farm, we discuss key supply chain issues, like Federal Reserve policies, port strikes, and Mississippi River disruptions, affecting everyone from producers to those all along the supply chain. Join us every Monday morning... more

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Artwork for Morning Coffee and Ag Markets

Latest Episodes

Chapter 12 bankruptcy filings are up 20% year over year, with Arkansas leading the nation. Hunter Biram, Ryan Loy and LSU's Mike Deliberto break down where filings are concentrated, why rising input costs have eaten into recent crop price gains, and ... more

This week on Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Hunter Biram visits with Arkansas Agricultural Hall of Fame inductee Carl Brothers about the history of rice marketing assistance loans, world market price calculations, and the growing possibility of loan ... more

Hunter Biram is joined by Enil Serrano and Grant Gardner to discuss the Crop Insurance Decision Maker, a web-based tool developed by the University of Arkansas and University of Kentucky that evaluates expected net returns across different crop insur... more

USDA's new Expanding Access to Risk Protection (EARP) rule eliminates the option for producers to purchase an additional 5 percentage points of prevented planting coverage. In this episode, Hunter Biram and Ryan Loy discuss what this change means for... more

This week’s Morning Coffee and Ag Markets Podcast revisits a 2025 episode on prevented planting decisions for Arkansas rice producers as the 2026 final planting date arrives. Hunter Biram and Ryan Loy discuss when prevented planting may be financiall... more

Hunter Biram is joined by Scott Stiles to discuss the May 2026 WASDE report and what it could mean for Arkansas producers. The conversation covers tightening grain stocks, stronger price outlooks for soybeans, rice, and cotton, and how changing input... more

Arkansas soybeans have shaped the state’s agricultural landscape for the last century, growing from a rotational crop in the 1920s into Arkansas’s leading row crop today. In this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Hunter Biram is joined by Bra... more

Ryan Loy and Hunter Biram discuss the 2026 Arkansas net farm income outlook. While income is projected to remain steady, it is largely supported by increased government assistance as crop receipts decline and production costs rise. The conversation a... more

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Recent Guests

Enil Puerto
Guest economist discussing crop insurance and FSA programs
University of Kentucky
Episode: Episode 91 - Analyzing the relationship between the yield ratio and optimal crop insurance coverage levels
Brad Doyle
Soybean industry advocate and farmer
Eagle Seed
Episode: Episode 87 - 100 Years of Arkansas Soybeans
Doug Hartz
Farm management and real estate entrepreneur; involved in seed and grain equipment businesses
Harco; seed business
Episode: Episode 87 - 100 Years of Arkansas Soybeans
Jeremy Ross
Extension Agronomist for Soybeans, University of Arkansas
University of Arkansas Division of Ag
Episode: Episode 87 - 100 Years of Arkansas Soybeans
Hunter Biram
Guest, agricultural economist
University-RAF partnership (Arkansas/U of MO RAF collaboration)
Episode: Episode 86 - Arkansas net farm income remains steady in 2026 driven by government assistance
Eunchun Park
AI and research colleague discussing an integrated decision-support tool
AI Geek Consulate
Episode: Episode 85 - Arkansas Farmer Decision Support Tool
Ryan Loy
Economist discussing Fed policy and farm budgeting
University-affiliated agricultural economist
Episode: Episode 84 - What Lower Interest Rates Mean for 2026 Budgets
Dr. Mike Popp
Farm Management Professor and Harold F. Ullendorf Chair in the Department of Agricultural Economics and Ag Business at University of Arkansas
University of Arkansas
Episode: Episode 83 - Exploring Floating Solar on Arkansas Farms
Grant Gardner
Economist, University of Kentucky
University of Kentucky
Episode: Episode 80 - Row-Crop Markets in Transition: Supply, Demand, and Pricing Opportunities

Hosts

Ryan Loy
Co-host and economist focusing on markets, Fed policy, and farm budgeting.
Hunter Biram
Host with a focus on agricultural economics and state-level market dynamics.

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

Episode 64 - Estimating County-Level Farm Program Payments in The One Big Beautiful Bill Act
Q: How did you model county-level payments to compare OB3 with the status quo, and what does that tell us about potential payments for 25-26?
We looked back at participation data from 2014–2024, mapped base acres, and evaluated triggers for AHWQ/PLC; by summing payments by county and averaging across years, we estimate expected payments per county under OB3 relative to the old bill, though these are not guarantees for any specific year.
Episode 64 - Estimating County-Level Farm Program Payments in The One Big Beautiful Bill Act
Q: What are the key changes for PLC and ARC under OB3 compared to the 2014/2018 farm bill baseline?
PLC now has higher reference prices (increasing around 10% to 21% depending on crop), triggering payments at a higher price threshold; ARC has higher revenue guarantees (guarantee up to 90% and payment rate up to 12%), expanding the range of outcomes that are covered.
Episode 64 - Estimating County-Level Farm Program Payments in The One Big Beautiful Bill Act
Q: Can you walk us through what motivated Congress to include such a substantial increase in programs like ARC and PLC?
The combination of low crop prices and higher input costs—fertilizers, pesticides, fuel, and interest—created the need for stronger protections; the analysis in the newsletter explains how this dynamic led to larger safety-net guarantees under OB3.
Episode 63 - Short-Term Interest Rates and Identifying Financial Stress
Q: What are the warning signs lenders and families should look for when a farmer is under extreme financial stress, and how can conversations be started without judgment?
Warning signs span verbal, behavioral, operational, and emotional categories, and persistent signals over weeks should trigger outreach. The best approach is to listen, use I statements, avoid minimizing the struggle, and create a space for hope rather than judgment.
Episode 63 - Short-Term Interest Rates and Identifying Financial Stress
Q: And so to kick this off, Erica, in your report, you draw some parallels between today's financial stress in agriculture and the 1980s farm crisis. What lessons carry over from the 1980s that are still applicable today?
The core lessons are that financial stress is not just about numbers; it affects identity and community. Open conversations, early flag spotting, and connecting producers with both financial and mental health support are crucial, especially when only a small portion of the population remains in farming today.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Morning Coffee and Ag Markets

What is Morning Coffee and Ag Markets about and what kind of topics does it cover?

The show delivers data-driven insights on agricultural economics, risk management, and market dynamics, with a steady stream of episodes centered on crop budgets, policy changes, and price forecasting. Across recent episodes, listeners hear practical guidance on decision-making under uncertainty—from insurance and planting choices to WASDE implications and crowding-in risks from input costs, weather, and geopolitical events. A recurring strength is turning complex analyses into actionable takeaways for farm managers, lenders, extension agents, and industry stakeholders, often featuring university economists, extension specialists, and seasoned farmers who translate research into field-level budgeting and planning. A notable edge is the use ... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Morning Coffee and Ag Markets?

These podcasts share a similar audience with Morning Coffee and Ag Markets:

1. Grainiacs
2. Arkansas Row Crops Radio
3. Arkansas AgCast
4. Grain Markets and Other Stuff
5. Ag PhD Radio on SiriusXM 147

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Morning Coffee and Ag Markets launched 2 years ago and published 95 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Morning Coffee and Ag Markets?

Recent guests on Morning Coffee and Ag Markets include:

1. Enil Puerto
2. Brad Doyle
3. Doug Hartz
4. Jeremy Ross
5. Hunter Biram
6. Eunchun Park
7. Ryan Loy
8. Dr. Mike Popp

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