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Odds on Open

Ethan Kho
Artificial Intelligence
Hedge Funds
Venture Capital
Investment Strategies
Generative AI
Investment Migration
Risk Management
Citadel
Quantitative Finance
Startups
Alternative Data
Quantitative Trading
Founders
Residency By Investment Programs
Golden Visa Programs
Machine Learning
Quant Trading
Portugal
Spain
High-Frequency Trading

Conversations with leading thinkers on trading and investing. Hosted by Ethan Kho. Produced by Patrick Kho.

PublishesWeeklyEpisodes57Foundeda year ago
Number of ListenersCategory
Business

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Artwork for Odds on Open

Latest Episodes

Apply here: onyxcapitalgroup.com/uni-studentsGeorge Livadas, Portfolio Manager and founder of Peregrine Capital, joins the show to break down the mechanics of running a concentrated, defensive long/short strategy as a solo PM. We explore how ... more

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In this episode of Odds on Open, TD Quant Matt Schrager discusses the microstructure of municipal bond market making and the technical challenges of extracting alpha from illiquid fixed income instruments. We analyze the shift from low-latency HFT fr... more

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In this episode of Odds on Open, we go deep into the mechanics of edge, credibility, and the structural evolution of the hedge fund industry. Host Ethan sits down with Tom, a veteran Quant PM formerly of Tudor Investment Corp and Moore Capital, to de... more

YouTube

Sean Emory of Avery discusses the evolution of edge in liquid markets, specifically how to leverage alternative data—from App Store analytics to digital exhaust—to identify fundamental inflection points before they are reflected in the price. We dive... more

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Recent Guests

Sean Emory
Guest investor discussing data-driven strategies and ETF launch
Avery (implied) / hedge fund context
Episode: “Concentrated Strategies Will Do Extremely Well” - Sean Emory on Outperforming the Index
Scott Phillips
Quant Trader and founder focusing on crypto market edges and mid-frequency strategies
Hyper Trend / DeFi hedge fund infrastructure (as described in the episode)
Episode: “It’s the Dumbest Market in the World” - Quant Trader Scott Phillips on Edge in Crypto
Brett Caughran
Ex-Citadel and D. E. Shaw portfolio manager
Citadel / D. E. Shaw
Episode: Now Is the Best Time to Become a Junior Analyst - Ex-Citadel and D. E. Shaw PM Brett Caughran
Derek Pilecki
Investor focused on financials; manager of a long-biased fund
Independent investor / fund manager
Episode: "Positions Can Be LESS Risky at Higher Prices" - Derek Pilecki on Finding Edge in Financials
Annie Duke
Professional poker player and author
Former professional poker player; author of Thinking in Bets
Episode: Annie Duke on Thinking in Bets - And Why Winners Can Be Wrong
Kris Abdelmessih
Former trader at SIG and founder of Moontower, a popular newsletter on options and volatility trading.
Moontower
Episode: Why SIG Tells Traders Not to Hedge! - Ex-SIG Trader and Moontower Founder, Kris Abdelmessih
Todd Simkin
Head of the insurance business at Rivers Edge, subsidiary of SIG and veteran in trader education
SIG
Episode: SIG Director: How Susquehanna Trains Top Traders with Poker
Daniel Xystus
Founder and CIO of Dax Advisors, former director of quant strategy at AIA
Dax Advisors
Episode: Ex-AIA Quant Director: Every Hedge Fund That Fails Makes THIS Mistake
Nishant Gurnani
Partner at Versor
Versor
Episode: Partners at Versor Reveal Their Quant Strategies Managing $1.4 Billion

Host

Ethan Kho
Host of Odds on Open; Host of the show

Chart Rankings

How this podcast ranks in the Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube charts.

Apple Podcasts
#202
Canada/Business
Apple Podcasts
#95
Belgium/Business
Apple Podcasts
#152
South Africa/Business
Apple Podcasts
#212
Finland/Business
Apple Podcasts
#238
Singapore/Business

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

Ex-Tudor Quant PM: “There Hasn't Been a New Idea in Trading for 15 Years”
Q: What is the number one goal of a hedge fund manager?
The goal is to be successful by building credibility with institutional allocators, telling truthful, data-backed stories, and delivering a profitable, defensible track record that can be audited and trusted.
“It’s the Dumbest Market in the World” - Quant Trader Scott Phillips on Edge in Crypto
Q: So why mid-frequency crypto for you now?
Mid-frequency crypto captures mean-reversion, trend, carry, and cross-sectional signals that are tractable and scalable with careful execution and risk controls; it sits between fast microstructure plays and long-horizon carry strategies, offering meaningful edges with manageable costs and capacity.
“It’s the Dumbest Market in the World” - Quant Trader Scott Phillips on Edge in Crypto
Q: Oh, what's happening in the crypto markets, and how is there edge when everyone is talking about crypto and Bitcoin?
Edge exists because markets are inefficient and different edges attract different participants; edge persists via risk-premium, market inefficiencies, and the distribution of risks that others don't want to take, especially in crypto with high drawdowns and capacity constraints.
“Concentrated Strategies Will Do Extremely Well” - Sean Emory on Outperforming the Index
Q: How do you decide whether an edge from alternative data is still meaningful if everyone can access the same data?
Edge comes from the interpretation, context, and combination of signals, not just the raw data; deeper understanding of how data points relate to a company's actual operations and margins creates an informational advantage.
“Concentrated Strategies Will Do Extremely Well” - Sean Emory on Outperforming the Index
Q: What was the first moment when you saw a data point lead to healthy results for you as an investor?
The first real-time validation came from Wix, where a bottom-of-page conversion rate pointed to the quarter, and the pattern held enough to inform expectations about revenue and user growth.

Audience Metrics

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Frequently Asked Questions About Odds on Open

What is Odds on Open about and what kind of topics does it cover?

Listeners are likely finance professionals and enthusiasts who want practical insights from investing and trading experts, often focusing on rigorous decision making, edge creation, and technology-enabled research. Episodes frequently cover AI-assisted investing, fundamental analysis, risk management, and the evolving dynamics of hedge funds, macro strategies, and market structure. The show tends to feature practitioners with real-world experience—traders, PMs, researchers, and founders—who share frameworks, consequences of market events, and career advice. A standout theme is the integration of AI and data with traditional investing craft, presented through candid, how-it-works storytelling and actionable takeaways for listeners aiming to ... more

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Odds on Open launched a year ago and published 57 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Odds on Open?

Recent guests on Odds on Open include:

1. Sean Emory
2. Scott Phillips
3. Brett Caughran
4. Derek Pilecki
5. Annie Duke
6. Kris Abdelmessih
7. Todd Simkin
8. Daniel Xystus

To view more recent guests and their details, simply upgrade your Rephonic account. You'll also get access to a typical guest profile to help you decide if the show is worth pitching.

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