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Artwork for Odds on Open

Odds on Open

Ethan Kho
Artificial Intelligence
Hedge Funds
Venture Capital
Citadel
Risk Management
Investment Strategies
Generative AI
Investment Migration
Quantitative Finance
Startups
Alternative Data
Quantitative Trading
Founders
Residency By Investment Programs
Golden Visa Programs
High-Frequency Trading
Prediction Markets
Machine Learning
Quant Trading
Portugal

Conversations with leading thinkers on trading and investing. Hosted by Ethan Kho. Produced by Patrick Kho.

PublishesWeeklyEpisodes79Founded2 years ago
Number of ListenersCategory
Business

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Artwork for Odds on Open

Latest Episodes

Roger Ehrenberg ran DB Advisors, Deutsche Bank’s $6 billion multi-manager hedge fund platform, overseeing around 20 trading teams across statistical arbitrage, high-frequency trading, CTA, and special situations. He went on to found IA Ventures and n... more

YouTube

Former Goldman Sachs head of natural gas trading John Knorring delivers a lecture on commodities trading from first principles, adapted from the one he gives to Princeton financial engineering students. Starting from one equation, supply minus demand... more

YouTube

Former Goldman Sachs oil derivatives trader and GSR Head of DeFi Simranjeet Singh breaks down market microstructure, liquidity provision, and risk management across traditional commodities and crypto assets. Simran recounts navigating the historic Ap... more

YouTube

David Orr returns to Odds on Open to unpack how he sustains a 50% annualized return and a 2.1 Sharpe ratio by stripping the multi-manager model down to raw alpha generation. We deconstruct his firm’s AI-driven risk architecture, detailing how proprie... more

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Recent Guests

John Knorring
Former Goldman Sachs head of natural gas trading and commodities trader
Green Tiger Markets
Episode: Welcome to Gas Vegas: Commodities Trading From First Principles With Ex-Goldman Commodities Trader
Simranjeet Singh
Former Goldman Sachs oil derivatives trader and GSR Head of DeFi
Monaco Exchange
Episode: Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion
David Orr
Hedge fund manager and founder of Militia
Militia
Episode: Hedge Fund Manager David Orr: Investing is 99% Talent
Joe Walsh
Hedge fund manager
Episode: Hedge Fund Manager Joseph Walsh: Always Play Weaker Players
Alix Pasquet
Hedge fund manager, guest on the episode
Episode: Hedge Fund Manager Alix Pasquet: How Small Funds Can Outsmart Multi-Managers
Ying Hua
Quantimental PM at a hedge fund (former)
Balyasny
Episode: Ex-Balyasny PM: “Automation will increase demand for hedge fund talent.”
Erik Smolinski
Hedge fund risk manager and options trader
Edge for Retail Trader Edge
Episode: ~100% Returns in 2025, No Losing Year Since 2008: Erik Smolinski on Edge for Retail Trader Edge
Rich Falk Wallace
Ex-Citadel portfolio manager
Arcana (as guest on the episode)
Episode: Ex-Citadel PM: All Hedge Fund Failures Are Because of One Reason - Rich Falk Wallace
Omer Seider
Ex-Two Sigma quant, discusses how human judgment and expert opinion feed into systematic alpha
Two Sigma (former)
Episode: Ex-Two Sigma Quant: You Should Bet Against Bullish Analysts

Host

Ethan Kho
Host of the show focusing on trading and investing insights, often featuring fund managers, quants, and market practitioners.

Chart Rankings

How this podcast ranks in the Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube charts.

Apple Podcasts
#78
Singapore/Business
Apple Podcasts
#141
India/Business
Apple Podcasts
#148
Hong Kong/Business
Apple Podcasts
#206
South Africa/Business
Apple Podcasts
#232
Israel/Business

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion
Q: What is your thesis?
Singh says Monaco Exchange aims to widen access to existing financial markets and create access to markets such as power that are currently difficult for many traders to reach. Its proposed listing process lets traders submit markets and earn a share of taker-fee revenue when they help generate activity.
Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion
Q: Before we did this podcast, you had a take about all of trading strategies being one of two things. Can you lay that out for the audience?
Singh argues that trading strategies reduce to momentum or mean reversion. Market making, volatility trading, and relative-value strategies each depend on whether prices are expected to continue a trend or move back toward a reference value.
Hedge Fund Manager Joseph Walsh: Always Play Weaker Players
Q: What are your thoughts on the AI trade as it stands today?
Walsh sees substantial potential in AI but emphasizes risks around hyperscaler capital spending, financing commitments, data-center permitting, power availability and cooling technology. He favors analyzing the full value chain to identify opportunities with attractive returns and controlled downside.
Hedge Fund Manager Joseph Walsh: Always Play Weaker Players
Q: What are the advantages associated with being a great poker player for investing?
Walsh says poker develops probabilistic thinking, risk and bankroll management, disciplined study and the ability to choose games where an investor has an advantage.
Hedge Fund Manager David Orr: Investing is 99% Talent
Q: What do you understand about building a multi-manager business that others don't?
Orr says his firm focuses on identifying genuine investment edge, including among unconventional candidates, and gives managers a chance based on verified live performance rather than traditional credentials.

Audience Metrics

Listeners, social reach, demographics and more for this podcast.

Listeners per Episode
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Frequently Asked Questions About Odds on Open

What is Odds on Open about and what kind of topics does it cover?

This show centers on high-level trading and investing, featuring guests from hedge funds, quant firms, energy and tech sectors, and market infrastructure. Episodes frequently explore market structure, edge, risk management, AI and data-driven investing, and fundraising or capital formation in active strategies. A distinctive thread is the practical, sometimes counterintuitive view of how teams generate durable alpha, navigate liquidity, and balance technology with human judgment. Listeners are likely practitioners seeking actionable insights, with a bias toward quantitative methods, risk-aware strategies, and the evolving role of AI in markets. The program often pairs technical discussions with personal stories about career paths, leadershi... more

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Which podcasts are similar to Odds on Open?

These podcasts share a similar audience with Odds on Open:

1. Alpha Exchange
2. Flirting with Models
3. Excess Returns
4. Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry
5. Yet Another Value Podcast

How many episodes of Odds on Open are there?

Odds on Open launched 2 years ago and published 79 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Odds on Open?

Recent guests on Odds on Open include:

1. John Knorring
2. Simranjeet Singh
3. David Orr
4. Joe Walsh
5. Alix Pasquet
6. Ying Hua
7. Erik Smolinski
8. Rich Falk Wallace

To view more recent guests and their details, simply upgrade your Rephonic account. You'll also get access to a typical guest profile to help you decide if the show is worth pitching.

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