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The Event Horizon Podcast

Dustin Gouker
Kalshi
Prediction Markets
Polymarket
Insider Trading
World Cup
Draftkings
Robinhood
Sports Event Contracts
BETINT
Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Verifact Markets
CFTC Prediction Market Rulemaking
Spotify
CFTC
U.S. Senate Commerce Committee
CFTC Sports Event Contract Restrictions
Survivor
Parlays
Lebron James
ADI Predictstreet

A podcast about the nascent prediction markets industry, including news, analysis and legal insights at Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt and beyond. Produced and hosted by Dustin Gouker. nexteventhorizon.substack.com

PublishesWeeklyEpisodes40Foundeda year ago
Number of ListenersCategories
Tech NewsBusiness NewsNews

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Artwork for The Event Horizon Podcast

Latest Episodes

How miserable are people? It turns out we can use prediction markets to measure that! Lucas Kohorst, the co-founder of Adjacent Markets, talks about it.

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And Daniel O’Boyle of InGame and I break down the week’s news.

If you trade on s... more

Are election markets good or bad for society, or a bit of both? I am joined this week by Sam Henry Lazarus, a geoeconomics analyst at the Council on Foreign Relations who recently did a deep dive on election betting.

And Daniel O’Boyle of InGame and... more

Daniel O’Boyle of InGame and I break down the week’s news from NEXTPredict in New York City.

If you trade on sports and event exchanges, you need EDGE Boost — the financial platform built specifically for players. Sign up and you get an EDGE Boost V... more

We all know that prediction market behavior can be used a signal for real-world events, and sometimes insider trading. I spoke with Dan Zimmermann, Chief Intelligence Officer at BETINT, to talk about how his company is trying to surface that informat... more

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Recent Guests

Lucas Kohorst
Co-founder of Adjacent Markets, an index and benchmark company for event contracts and prediction markets
Adjacent Markets
Episode: Episode 40: The Misery Index With Adjacent Markets’ Lucas Kohorst
Dan Zimmermann
Chief intelligence officer at BETINT
BETINT
Episode: Episode 37: Betting Intelligence With Dan Zimmermann Of BETINT
Rodrigo Aquino
CEO of Verifact Markets, entrepreneur with experience in technology and corporate strategy
Verifact Markets
Episode: Episode 36: Trading On The Past, With Verifact CEO Rodrigo Aquino
Eric Ramsey
Data researcher and analyst, TickerTracker contributor
TickerTracker
Episode: Episode 35: Prediction Market Data With TickerTracker’s Eric Ramsey
Leif Abraham
Co-founder of Public
Public
Episode: Episode 34: The Future Of Prediction Markets With Public’s Leif Abraham
Will Brooke
Co-founder of Harrison
Harrison
Episode: Episode 33: Prediction Markets And Hedging With Herisson’s Will Brooke
Robert DeNault
Head of Enforcement
Kalshi
Episode: Episode 32: Talking Prediction Market Enforcement With Kalshi’s Robert DeNault
Matt Restivo
SVP of Sports Data Services at Grandstand/Optic Odds
Grandstand
Episode: Episode 31: News With Front Office Sports’ Ben Horney; Data With Grandstand’s Matt Restivo
Aaron Klein
Senior Fellow at the Center on Regulation and Markets, The Brookings Institution
Brookings Institution
Episode: Episode 28: Prediction Market Policy With Aaron Klein Of The Brookings Institution

Hosts

Dustin Gouker
Host of The Event Horizon Podcast; lead host covering prediction markets, industry news, and market dynamics.
Daniel O'Boyle
Co-host, covers prediction markets and online gambling; contributes analysis on regulatory, data, and industry news.

Chart Rankings

How this podcast ranks in the Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube charts.

Apple Podcasts
#223
Australia/News/Tech News
Apple Podcasts
#52
Israel/News/Tech News
Apple Podcasts
#148
Ireland/News/Tech News

Talking Points

Recent interactions between the hosts and their guests.

Prediction Markets Provide Signal Amid Chaos In California Governor's Race
Q: What's your thoughts on this news about the White House warning staff against insider trading?
O'Boyle said unusually timed prediction-market bets could influence regulated commodity markets if other traders use them as signals. He argued the CFTC may have grounds to address the issue, particularly when markets concern U.S. events and information may come from insiders.
Prediction Markets Provide Signal Amid Chaos In California Governor's Race
Q: When you saw the news about Fox and Kalshi, what were your initial thoughts, and what do you see here?
O'Boyle noted that Kalshi emphasized that many visitors use its platform without betting, apparently to position its data as informational. He viewed the arrangement as a product-placement deal and questioned whether prediction-market data adds much to Fox Weather's existing forecasts.
Episode 40: The Misery Index With Adjacent Markets’ Lucas Kohorst
Q: Can you tell listeners what the Misery Index is and how you've built something on top of it?
Lucas Kohorst says the traditional Misery Index adds year-over-year inflation and unemployment. Adjacent Markets substitutes prediction-market-implied estimates for those monthly figures to produce a continuously priced real-time index, with possible future trading products based on it.
Episode 14: Candidates And A Soldier Betting On Themselves Is A Problem
Q: Can you walk us through what happened there in Wisconsin and New York?
O'Boyle explains that Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Coinbase, and Robinhood, while New York sued Coinbase and Gemini. He describes how existing federal litigation affected New York's ability to sue Kalshi and why states are increasingly pursuing these cases in state court.
Episode 40: The Misery Index With Adjacent Markets’ Lucas Kohorst
Q: What did you make of the CFTC's guidance requiring prediction markets to serve all states or explain why they cannot?
Daniel O'Boyle says the guidance's impact depends on what reasons the CFTC accepts, especially where court orders or state enforcement actions constrain operators. He expects escalation but is unsure whether the CFTC would sue companies that continue restricting access.

Audience Metrics

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Frequently Asked Questions About The Event Horizon Podcast

What is The Event Horizon Podcast about and what kind of topics does it cover?

A sharp, data-driven look at the nascent prediction markets to understand how platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket, and others are evolving under changing regulatory winds. Episodes blend market mechanics, enforcement and policy discussions with real-world use cases—ranging from hedging and weather derivatives to sports betting and political events—along with live narratives from conferences and industry developments. A distinctive angle is the heavy emphasis on data insights (volumes, leg counts, and market share) and how regulation, consumer protections, and branding shape growth and legitimacy in this emerging ecosystem. Listeners can expect a mix of technical context, strategic industry analysis, and practical implications for operators, i... more

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1. Prediction Markets Report
2. Zero Latency: An Eilers & Krejcik Gaming Podcast
3. Inside Prediction Markets
4. Business of Betting Podcast
5. Low Rollers

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The Event Horizon Podcast launched a year ago and published 40 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on The Event Horizon Podcast?

Recent guests on The Event Horizon Podcast include:

1. Lucas Kohorst
2. Dan Zimmermann
3. Rodrigo Aquino
4. Eric Ramsey
5. Leif Abraham
6. Will Brooke
7. Robert DeNault
8. Matt Restivo

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