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Artwork for 孟岩投资实证

孟岩投资实证

Elan孟岩

【本专辑已完结】 more

PublishesDailyEpisodes84Founded5 years ago
Language
ZH-CN
Categories
BusinessInvestingEntrepreneurship

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Artwork for 孟岩投资实证

Latest Episodes

今天分享我最近读过的一本有趣的书 ——《数字游戏》。先从电影《点球成金》说起。这是我最喜欢的电影之一。在电影中,比利·比恩用比尔·詹姆斯的理论,把概率理论和数据统计分析带进了棒球运动。与天价购买大牌球星的传统棒球哲学不同,他利用数学建模的方式,努力寻找被传统棒球界忽视的数据角度,挖掘出一批由于种种原因被严重低估的球员。这些或老迈、或姿势怪异、或私生活混乱的球员组成的球队,在无人看好的情况下,一举打破了纽约洋基队的记录,创造了美国职棒历史最长的 20 连胜。在电影之外,波士顿红袜队的新任老板约翰·... more

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4 years ago

最近这周在外出差,见各种朋友的过程中,被问到最多的问题就是:对股市怎么看?接下来还会涨吗?据说今年的走势是 N 字形,接下来要跌了,你觉得呢?大家的情绪切换能力真的太快了,就在几个月前的 1 月份,大家讨论的都是业绩暴雷、经济崩溃;过年回来,股市短短时间上涨了 30%+,大家觉得 3500 点以前毫无压力,纷纷看到 5000 点;一周的调整过后,情绪又转换了,据说上涨就此结束了 ...说实话我没什么看法。所以我每次都用 LaoK 的那句话来回应:Don't Know & Don't Care 不... more

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4 years ago

2019年4月,中国基金业协会公布了最新的公募基金统计数据。截至2月末,公募基金的资产合计达到了 14.29 万亿,创下历史最高。“维基揭秘”的柯智华老师做了一个解读,希望通过这个数据来分析基民的投资行为,很有趣。为了更好的进行分析,这个数据有两个问题需要解决:1)公募基金总资产的增长,既包括基民的申购,也包括资产本身的上涨;2)公募基金的申购/赎回行为,既包括普通散户基民,也包括机构。解决第一个问题,柯老师用了基金份额而非净值,这样就去除了资产本身的上涨。解决第二个问题,柯老师做了一个近似的假... more

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4 years ago

最近和且慢的运营小伙伴交流的时候,聊到两个来自客户的问题,挺有代表意义的,今天来聊聊。问题1:“ 你们为什么那么爱教育用户?为什么不能顺着用户的需求?且慢不是以用户为中心吗? ”问题2:“ 不用说那么多了,我完全信任且慢,就告诉我怎么投就可以了。 ”先回答第一个问题。且慢确实是以用户为中心。而且我们从心底认同,给用户创造价值是一切的源泉。只有解决了用户的需求,创造了社会价值,才能获得想匹配的商业上的回报。但从另一个角度,投资和其它的任何产品都不太一样。很多用户其实“不太知道自己想要什么”。当牛市... more

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4 years ago

科学实验证明,人的脑海中每天会产生 4万 个念头。这些念头,或回忆、或憧憬、或悔恨、或焦虑,时时刻刻萦绕在我们的脑海中。你一定经历过这样的情景:晚上下班开车回家,脑子完全没有在驾驶上,开到家后却发现根本不知道自己是怎么回来的;心不在焉的和别人吃饭,吃了很久,却不知道饭菜的滋味;工作的时候满脑子都是股市行情,时不时打开行情软件看看涨了多少、跌了多少;拿起手机,本想查一个信息,顺便打开了朋友圈刷一下,点进了一篇公众号文章 … 等回过神来回来的时候,已经忘了刚才要查什么。在投资理财这件事儿上,就更是如... more

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4 years ago

最近重读了史蒂芬·柯维博士的《高效能人士的七个习惯》。这本书出版于1989年,到今年刚好30周年。我在初中的时候曾经读过一次,读的懵懵懂懂,完全没有留下印象。因为最近经常在不同地方看到这本书的引用,于是买来重读。书大好,强烈推荐。我在这个实证里面经常提到的 “以终为始”、“要事优先” 也都包含在柯维博士的七个原则之中。除了7个习惯(原则),柯维博士在书中的第一章和最后一章,都强调了 Inside Out(由内向外)的重要性。“Inside Out”是这本书的基础,是七个习惯的起点,也是我认为最重... more

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4 years ago

今天写一个我一直想写但没敢写的话题,一句对我影响很深的话。我非常喜欢这句话,觉得它对别人也会有很大的帮助。一直不敢写的原因是,总觉得自己现在没有能力把它写好,还需要积累和沉淀。当我半年内在第四本书中读到这句话的时候,我知道是时候了。第一次看到这句话,是从 George Mumford 的 "Mindful Athlete",英文原文如下:Between stimulus and response there is a space. In that space is our power to ch... more

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4 years ago

今天分享三个有关 6年 的故事。第一个6年的故事:91岁高龄的“褚橙”的创始人 —— 褚时健去世了,朋友圈里看了很多悼念褚老的文章。褚老前半生被称为烟草大王,曾是云南红塔集团的董事长。尽管这是他事业的一座高峰,但坦言我并不欣赏这段经历。“Do good to do well, or to do well to do good”,“先做大、再做对” 还是 “先做对、再做大”,我还是更喜欢后者。但出狱后褚老的选择着实震撼了我。2002年,一个70多岁的老人,选择做一件至少需要 6年 才能看到结果的事... more

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4 years ago

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