韭菜之聲｜散戶敢問，大戶敢說
奎叔白天在 IPO 輔導公司看盡上市內幕，下班後是個流著賭徒血液的台股散戶。 每週三固定上架，週五或六擇一天上架。大戶座談不定時上架 本節目從散戶視角出發，邀約大戶與業內人士座談，挖出那些刷新三觀的市場觀點。 Apple | Spotify | Youtube | Instagram Powered by Firstory Hosting
| Publishes | Twice weekly | Episodes | 17 | Founded | 2 months ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Language |  ZH-TW | Categories | BusinessInvesting | ||
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5/1勞動節，剛好趁今天沒開盤好好研究臻鼎-KY，詳細的資料會放在threads
小補充：
節目裡我把三集瑞直接講成 AI 散熱，這邊講得太快了。
更精準是 AI server 電源 / 磁性元件需求。
現在的台股就像周年慶的百貨公司，門口排滿人，但錢變得很現實。精品店大排長龍，美食街卻沒人逛；這不是沒錢，是市場開始變挑了。
• 鄰居更貴法則： 為什麼市場最近瘋狂追逐 臻鼎-KY？當隔壁鄰居欣興、南電本益比都 70 到 100 倍時，30 倍的臻鼎看起來就變得很「合理」。這不是便宜，是比... more
台股首破四萬點，但這是一場「一個人的武林」。當台積電權重高達 44.3%，金管會一張「台積電條款」公文，直接成了中小型股的拔管令。這集要拆解這個殘酷的資金遊戲：
• 消失的 1,600 檔： 大盤漲 684 點那天，全台有 1,600 檔股票在跌。投信被新規則推著去買台積電，手上的錢哪裡來？就是把你的中小型股拋售換現金。
• 熱門題材的撤退潮： CPO（矽光子）和低軌衛星故事很美，但上詮、光聖、啟碁為什麼跌掉兩成？市場現在不願意為這個故事付錢，資金正在集體出走。
• 長興 (1717) 的... more
這兩天新聞很有趣：大盤衝 39K 時分析師說要挑戰四萬，下午殺下來後又說「早就有訊號」。這就叫「球評式分析」——比賽打完才從一堆數據裡挑出理由來解釋。, 奎叔想聊聊，當市場在情緒面前暴走，你該看的是趨勢還是波動？
• 分析師的劇本： 事情發生後講得都很準，但 4/22 收盤前怎麼沒人先說會崩？別再找人幫你的虧損找合理化解釋了。
• 長興 (1717)： 獲利縮水到 16% 我還是不動。主力剛進場，除非他們大賠退場，否則我留在場內等拉抬。
• 三集瑞 (6869)： 雖然帳面套牢 12% 卻... more
這禮拜市場發生了兩件極端的事：全台灣多了 33 萬個新股民（包括你剛考完指考的表弟跟你阿嬤），但同時，有個看盤老手在金居 (8358) 一次賠掉了 1 億 1 千萬，寫下台股史上最大違約交割紀錄。
為什麼「專業老手」會死得比「股市小白」還慘？奎叔想跟你聊聊那個致命的幻覺：
* K 線圖與 539 樂透： 阿伯看著 30 期開獎號碼說「數字 7 該出了」，跟你盯著 K 線圖說「連 10 紅該跌了」，在本質上是一模一樣的硬找規律。
* 熟成韭菜的代價： 新手頂多賠掉幾萬塊，但深信自... more
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Apple Podcasts | #57 |  Taiwan/Business/Investing |
Apple Podcasts | #175 | Taiwan/Business |
Apple Podcasts | #186 |  Poland/Business/Investing |
Apple Podcasts | #223 |  Japan/Business/Investing |
Apple Podcasts | #245 |  South Korea/Business/Investing |
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韭菜之聲｜散戶敢問，大戶敢說 launched 2 months ago and published 17 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.
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