【交易进阶录】缠论/教你炒股票108课/股票/炒股
李晓军简约缠论初步培育分析市场的能力，解决“知”市场的问题，由浅入深、由单处理到批处理，不断增加你的思辨纬度，让你成为分析师。
| Publishes | Daily | Episodes | 183 | Founded | 4 years ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Language |  ZH-CN | Categories | CoursesEducation | ||
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六、总结1、博弈是一种思想，你只有掌握这种思想，才能对市场力量分布进行评判。2、先把自己放空，做为零向量观察，才能真正知道现在所处。一定要先把自己放空。当你熟知了各个交易者的逻辑的时候，你不能有自己的倾向性。你只有作为零向量观察者，才能真正知道市场现在的力量所处。很多人做不到客观，分析出来结果是主观的，是因为他本身就是参与者，是整个博弈的一份子，所以他在找一些理由支持自己的博弈方向，这就导致他是盲目的。我们需要跳出市场，作为观察者存在，得出客观结论之后再以参与者的最优策略进行。心性空策略才能现出... more
五、当下股市的博弈主体浅析
当你知道博弈的逻辑之后，你不能停留在想象上，我们该观察哪些主体，才能找到一些现象或者数据作为支撑，我给大家简单分析一下。
1、价值投资者
（1）产业资本
价值投资者最大的代表是产业资本，因为产业资本是完全从价值出发的。比如2005年时，我让一些朋友买鞍钢股份，因为它已经完全跌到净资产下方了，而且未来钢铁还有很大的机会，我投资它明显比我新建一个厂效应更高，那我为什么不去收购它。其实这个就是产业资本的逻辑。所以当产业资本认为在他的产业布局中，资本市场收购比重新建厂要更有... more
四、用博弈的思想理解波浪1浪：有投资价值个股逐渐增加，价值投资者不断进场。
在1浪的下跌末端，有投资价值的个股开始不断的出现，基本面开始好转，价值投资的人群开始不断的增加。以产业资本为代表的投资者开始不断进入，承接量能开始逐渐放大，开始产生分歧了（在下跌末端一定是有分歧产生，分歧越大，被改势的可能性才越大。）在1浪下跌末端的时候，一定是分歧导致的终结，这种分歧的终结一定是由一个较大力量出现才可以，这个力量一定是价值投资者的进入才能导致。（1浪下跌末端表达有歧义）趋势并未确认终结，趋势投资者还在抛... more
三、股市的参与主体分类我们以这个思路分析一下股市。1、价格围绕价值波动是任何市场的基本规律。股市是价格围绕价值波动，情绪和趋势的力量会放大这样的波动，会有矫枉过正这样的现象出现。2、参与主体大类上分两类：价值投资者和趋势投资者。股市的参与者主要分两大类：价值投资者和趋势投资者。整个市场走势演化过程，就是价值投资者和趋势投资者之间的博弈。当然这里面还有一类投资者叫情绪投资者，他在市场中起到推波助澜的作用。情结投资者更像是乌合之众，哪头胜了，他可能就倾向于哪头。我们这里说的价值投资者和趋势投资者是偏... more
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