灰度纪年
冬石不语单人播客，每周一早 6 点半更新，全年无休。 每月其中一期为付费单集，不追时事，探求更深层的问题——沿三条主线展开：政治家系列（解析塑造当代政治格局的关键人物）、历史系列（回溯影响当下社会走向的历史转折）、战争系列（复盘改写国际秩序的重大战争）。 其余为常规节目，聚焦国际热点，跳出非黑即白，找到历史的韵脚，用细节呈现灰度。
| Publishes | Weekly | Episodes | 73 | Founded | a year ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Language |  ZH-CN | Number of Listeners | Category | News |
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Latest Episodes
匈牙利，面积比浙江省略小，人口不到一千万，GDP跟青岛差不多。就是这么个体量的小国。但今年春天，它的大选牵动了全世界的目光。
选前，美国副总统万斯专程飞赴布达佩斯为欧尔班助选，特朗普在社交媒体上亲自背书，世界第一大国的总统和副总统，如此卖力地下场一个小国的选举，背后显然不简单。
欧尔班治下的匈牙利本身就是个政治奇观：意识形态上跟美国做"同志"，安全上跟俄罗斯做"战友"，经济上跟中国做"商业伙伴"。但对于欧盟，匈牙利一开始是一块心病，后来慢慢演变成了一场噩梦。
而这一切，跟匈牙利一千多年前那... more
越南现任总书记兼国家主席苏林，可能是胡志明之后，对越南影响最深远的政治人物。本期节目，我们趁着苏林访华的时机，好好把这个人讲清楚。
越南对中国的重要性，大概超过了很多人的直觉：中国上一场对外战争打的就是越南，如今越南是中国第二大出口目的地，而越南的政治制度、发展道路，几乎是中国的一面镜子。
我们会从苏林的成长背景、从政之路讲起，讲他如何从一个公安系统的技术官僚，在阮富仲的"熔炉运动"中一路锻造成越南最强权力的掌控者，包括那场震动整个欧洲外交界的柏林绑架案，以及他把一场反腐运动变成权力重构工具... more
这一期是伊朗战事的阶段性总结。伊斯兰堡谈了21个小时，最后不欢而散。但我的判断没有变：双方都不想把这场仗打成地面战，都在找台阶下。谈崩了，不等于要继续升级。
我们这期用六个层次往下推：谈判为什么破局，巴基斯坦凭什么出面，停火第一天以色列为什么就开始轰炸黎巴嫩，特朗普为什么把万斯这个当初唯一反对开战的人派去谈判，以及这场战争里各方到底拿到了什么、失去了什么。
最后我们把视野拉长，聊一聊从 Pax Britannica 到 Pax Americana，从苏伊士到霍尔木兹——这会不会是一个大周期翻... more
（图）特朗普发表演讲，一边国旗，一边总统旗帜
（图）淘宝上制作美国总统旗的商家宣传图
（图）1955 年的丹尼斯·布罗根，他提出的「美国的全能幻觉」至今仍有参考价值
节目简介
本周我们聚焦一场让人「一口老血憋在喉间」的撤退。特朗普在白宫发表了一场19分钟的标准规格演讲，单方面宣布对伊朗的军事打击「即将完成」，准备在两三周内「打完就走」。
然而，现实却骨感得多：被彻底封锁的霍尔木兹海峡、埋在废墟下的400公斤高浓缩铀，以及全球因油价飙升而告急的经济。面对这些，美国的态度极其甩手：你们高度... more
Reviews
- 小宇宙跟过来的，很喜欢
加油
Apple Podcasts5君子孟
United States4 months ago - 水平也就那样了
连芬兰总理都要舔，也就这样吧
Apple Podcasts1Jimboo0034China4 months ago - 第一次在podcast留评论
四月时搜特朗普关税的时候意外发现的宝藏节目，最初是觉得从心理学角度分析很有趣，听了其他几期也非常喜欢主播对政治的解读。虽然还没来得及每期都听完，但断续地也有很多学习和收获，受您启发也渐渐将自己本科时接触的政治哲学皮毛以及研究生时在纽约感受到的社会样态串联起来，因此生出新的思考。非常感谢。
因为自已现在在刚果金工作经常需要接触当地政府部门，今年以来东部战争加上美国搅局，明显感觉营商环境恶化很多。很好奇老师对非洲是否有研究，对美国的非洲政策怎么看呢？
Apple Podcasts5全世界看海
Japan7 months ago - 😊很棒
太棒了！很少评论播客，这个很有深度，基本不可能停下来。加油👏
Apple Podcasts5究极霹雳无敌帅哥China10 months ago - 文本和选题不错，但是为什么中间老有剪辑还是跳过的音频情况，听感很差
1
Apple Podcasts3kk798）Chinaa year ago
Chart Rankings
How this podcast ranks in the Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube charts.
Apple Podcasts | #248 |  Canada/News |
Apple Podcasts | #233 |  Australia/News |
Apple Podcasts | #100 | China/Top Podcasts |
Apple Podcasts | #196 |  Hong Kong/Top Podcasts |
Apple Podcasts | #3 | China/News |
Apple Podcasts | #18 | Hong Kong/News |
Audience Metrics
Listeners, social reach, demographics and more for this podcast.
| Listeners per Episode | Gender Skew | Location | |||
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| Interests | Professions | Age Range | |||
| Household Income | Social Media Reach | ||||
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灰度纪年 launched a year ago and published 73 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.
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