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左兜进右兜

右兜

一档拆解华尔街机构研报的中文播客。 每期节目,我们选取高盛、摩根士丹利、摩根大通、美国银行等全球机构的最新研究报告,围绕三个问题展开: 机构在研究什么? 这些逻辑是否成立? 普通投资者能从中看到什么信号? 节目内容主要围绕: AI科技股、全球市场趋势、机构资金逻辑、交易中的真实思考。 不追热点,不贩卖情绪。 只做一件事:把复杂的机构研究,讲清楚。

PublishesDailyEpisodes408Founded2 years ago
Language
ZH-CN
Number of ListenersCategories
BusinessTechnology

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Latest Episodes

这期内容,来自中关村论坛上一场关于大模型的分享,Kimi(月之暗面)创始人杨植麟系统性地讲了一件事:大模型的进步,可能并不只是算力的堆叠,而更像是一种“把能源转化为智能”的效率问题。

在这场演讲里,他谈到几个很关键的方向,包括如何提升 Token 利用效率、为什么需要把任务拆给多个 Agent 协作完成,以及他们在模型架构上做的一些不那么直观但很重要的尝试,比如把注意力机制从“序列”扩展到“深度”。这些变化背后,其实是在重新定义大模型应该怎么扩展。

更有意思的是,他对未来的判断——AI 不只... more

这期节目,我们基于的一份最新宏观报告,讨论一个正在发生但不容易被第一时间察觉的变化——油价,可能正在悄悄改写今年市场的运行路径。

表面上,这是一次典型的能源冲击;但如果把油价、消费、财政刺激和利率预期放在一起看,你会发现,它真正影响的不是通胀本身,而是增长能不能走出来。

当一边是减税释放需求,另一边是油价在持续抽走现金流,市场开始进入一个既难以放松、又无法收紧的区间。

这期节目,我们试着把这个结构拆开讲清楚,也试着回答一个更关键的问题——

如果油价在这个位置停得足够久,今年这轮增长,还能... more

这期内容来自摩根士丹利在2026年3月26日发布的报告《When Factory = Robot》。

报告讨论的并不是简单的机器人替代人工,而是一个更底层的问题——制造业的现代化路径,是否从一开始就建立在错误的逻辑之上。

当自动化被用于加速既有流程时,效率的提升可能只是对旧体系的放大,而不是重构。真正的变化,可能在于从“流程优化”走向“系统重构”,从单一工厂的效率提升,走向整条供应链的统一调度。

本期节目尝试回答一个问题:

如果未来的工厂本身就是一个由AI驱动的整体系统,那么制造业的竞争力,... more

报告来源:J.P. Morgan

发布时间:2026年3月26日

标题:U.S. Beverages, Household & Personal Care

这期节目,我们把视角从AI里稍微抽离出来,借助摩根大通最新的一份消费行业报告,去看一个更接近真实世界的问题——当可乐、洗发水、牙膏这些最基础的消费开始变慢的时候,这背后到底是周期,还是结构。

报告给出的信息其实并不复杂:行业依然稳定,但增长在放缓,利润在修复,低收入人群和边际消费群体在承压,而消费行为本身,也在从“买什么”转向“怎么买... more

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左兜进右兜 launched 2 years ago and published 408 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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