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Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens

Rob Moreno
UFC
Ultimate Fighting Championship
Manel Kape
Dricus Du Plessis
Justin Gaethje
UFC Vegas 118
Davidson Figueredo
Las Vegas, United States
UFC Vegas 115
Kyoji Horiguchi
Reinier De Ridder
Max Holloway
Shanghai, China
Dustin Poirier
Kamaru Usman
Jack Della Maddalena
Aljamain Sterling
Sean Strickland
Anthony Hernandez
Perth, Australia

Fighting With Numbers is the UFC betting podcast where analytics meet fight talk. Hosted by Rob Moreno of VSiN's First Strike, each episode breaks down upcoming cards through model grades, matchup data, and betting angles that actually matter. No hype, no clickbait — just data-driven analysis that helps you read the lines, not the headlines. Whether you’re chasing sharp value, tracking fighter tre... more

PublishesWeeklyEpisodes58Founded2 years ago
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Latest Episodes

The UFC heads to Belgrade this week and the main event comes with a storyline the model simply can't account for. Rob breaks down what that means for the fight, how the numbers line up against a knockout machine on a three-fight TKO streak, and pack ... more

The UFC is in Abu Dhabi this week and Rob is back with another lean card, another early morning start, and another pack rip. Two fights make the cut for the model this week — an undefeated prospect with a suffocating grappling game looking to stay pe... more

YouTube

The UFC heads to Oklahoma City for a shorter card this week, and Rob starts by addressing the elephant in the room — Conor McGregor's knee gave out in the first round, BSD dropped a fight he didn't see coming, and somehow we move forward. On a data-t... more

YouTube

The Mac is back. Five years removed from his last fight and six years since his last win, Conor McGregor steps back into the octagon at welterweight for a rematch against Max Holloway that nobody saw coming when they first met back in 2013. Rob break... more

YouTube

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Recent Guests

Reed Kuhn
Author of Fightnomics, MMA analytics expert
Fightnomics
Episode: UFC 320: Pereira’s Revenge Shot? | Fighting With Numbers
Dan Vreeland
Guest mentioned as weekly guest
Sports Gambling Podcast Network
Episode: UFC Perth: Underdogs Down Under? Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes & More

Reviews

4.9 out of 5 stars from 13 ratings
  • Stupendous

    Where passion for the sport meets black and white data.

    Jump on it.

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Bankitbond19
    United States8 months ago
  • Funny & Interesting

    Such a great show. A lot of humor but also a lot of insight into sports betting; things I would have never thought of!

    Apple Podcasts
    5
    Jhm0925
    United States2 years ago

Listeners Say

Key themes from listener reviews, highlighting what works and what could be improved about the show.

Humor alongside serious analysis helps digest complex stats without losing rigor.
A must for bettors who want transparency on edges and model-driven reasoning.
Sharp insights into betting angles with real-world applicability for line reading.
Thoughtful blend of data and fight talk makes bets feel grounded, not hype.

Chart Rankings

How this podcast ranks in the Apple Podcasts, Spotify and YouTube charts.

Audience Metrics

Listeners, social reach, demographics and more for this podcast.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Fighting

What is Fighting about and what kind of topics does it cover?

This show takes a numbers-first approach to UFC betting, focusing on data-driven edge reads, model grades, and fight-by-fight analysis that aims to separate value from hype. Listeners can expect rigorous metrics like XR percentages, takedown dynamics, and strike outputs applied to upcoming cards, with practical betting guidance and references to live dashboards and data sites. A standout aspect is the disciplined, transparent methodology that emphasizes bankroll discipline and lines movement, making it likely to appeal to serious bettors and data-minded fans who want to understand why a bet makes sense beyond narrative hype.

Noteworthy is the ongoing integration of a publicly accessible data framework (web app and dashboard) and a consisten... more

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How many episodes of Fighting are there?

Fighting launched 2 years ago and published 58 episodes to date. You can find more information about this podcast including rankings, audience demographics and engagement in our podcast database.

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What guests have appeared on Fighting?

Recent guests on Fighting include:

1. Reed Kuhn
2. Dan Vreeland

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